Everton vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 49.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Everton vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.5%
9.6%
9.5%
8.6%
7.2%
Everton 1.66 · Ipswich 1.11
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
40.8% to 58.6%
The Everton home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
12 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Everton and Ipswich.
Matchweek 5
Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.27 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.002 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.179 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.047 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Everton vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Everton vs Ipswich Town?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 49.4%. The draw is 26.2%.
What is the predicted score for Everton vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is Everton 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 12.5%.
Will both teams score in Everton vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.4% probability.
When is Everton vs Ipswich Town?
Everton vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 19 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time.