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THE PROBABILITY DESK · SATURDAY, 21 NOVEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Saturday, 21 November 2026

53 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 6 competitions on Saturday, 21 November 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Manchester City win at 70.4%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

ACTIVE FIXTURES53
COMPETITIONS6
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Saturday, 21 November 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 53 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30time provisionalMillwall vs Queens Park RangersEFL Championship62.6%21.9%15.5%1-013.0%1.87-0.80Home62.6%1.60 · 4.57 · 6.44
12:30time provisionalNorwich City vs Cardiff CityEFL Championship52.5%24.1%23.4%1-111.5%1.68-1.04Home52.5%1.91 · 4.14 · 4.27
12:30time provisionalSouthampton vs Derby CountyEFL Championship53.4%24.1%22.6%1-111.4%1.69-1.01Home53.4%1.87 · 4.15 · 4.43
15:00time provisionalBolton Wanderers vs PortsmouthEFL Championship39.4%26.5%34.1%1-112.6%1.34-1.23Home39.4%2.54 · 3.77 · 2.94
15:00time provisionalLincoln City vs WrexhamEFL Championship38.7%26.4%34.9%1-112.6%1.34-1.26Home38.7%2.59 · 3.79 · 2.86
15:00time provisionalMiddlesbrough vs Bristol CityEFL Championship54.1%24.1%21.8%1-011.8%1.69-0.98Home54.1%1.85 · 4.15 · 4.59
15:00time provisionalSheffield United vs WatfordEFL Championship57.1%23.3%19.6%1-011.9%1.77-0.93Home57.1%1.75 · 4.30 · 5.10
15:00time provisionalStoke City vs Birmingham CityEFL Championship28.0%26.8%45.2%1-112.7%1.04-1.40Away45.2%3.57 · 3.73 · 2.21
15:00time provisionalSwansea City vs West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship43.0%26.9%30.2%1-112.7%1.37-1.10Home43.0%2.33 · 3.72 · 3.32
15:00time provisionalWest Ham United vs Preston North EndEFL Championship63.2%21.4%15.4%1-012.5%1.91-0.82Home63.2%1.58 · 4.66 · 6.50
15:00time provisionalWolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton AthleticEFL Championship52.6%25.0%22.4%1-012.6%1.60-0.95Home52.6%1.90 · 3.99 · 4.46
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30time provisionalBlackpool vs Wigan AthleticEFL League One49.7%24.9%25.4%1-012.4%1.51-1.00Home49.7%2.01 · 4.01 · 3.94
12:30time provisionalReading vs BromleyEFL League One45.0%24.8%30.3%1-111.8%1.49-1.17Home45.0%2.22 · 4.04 · 3.30
15:00time provisionalBradford City vs Doncaster RoversEFL League One48.9%24.7%26.4%1-111.7%1.53-1.05Home48.9%2.04 · 4.05 · 3.78
15:00time provisionalBurton Albion vs Luton TownEFL League One27.0%24.7%48.3%1-111.8%1.07-1.52Away48.3%3.71 · 4.05 · 2.07
15:00time provisionalCambridge United vs Stockport CountyEFL League One29.6%25.1%45.3%1-112.0%1.13-1.46Away45.3%3.38 · 3.98 · 2.21
15:00time provisionalHuddersfield Town vs Leicester CityEFL League One42.2%24.9%32.8%1-111.8%1.44-1.23Home42.2%2.37 · 4.01 · 3.05
15:00time provisionalLeyton Orient vs AFC WimbledonEFL League One50.5%24.5%25.0%1-012.1%1.55-1.01Home50.5%1.98 · 4.07 · 4.00
15:00time provisionalMansfield Town vs MK DonsEFL League One51.7%23.5%24.8%1-111.2%1.66-1.07Home51.7%1.93 · 4.26 · 4.03
15:00time provisionalNotts County vs StevenageEFL League One37.6%26.3%36.1%1-112.5%1.25-1.21Home37.6%2.66 · 3.80 · 2.77
15:00time provisionalOxford United vs Wycombe WanderersEFL League One45.8%25.0%29.2%1-111.9%1.48-1.12Home45.8%2.18 · 4.00 · 3.43
15:00time provisionalPlymouth Argyle vs Peterborough UnitedEFL League One66.1%18.6%15.4%2-010.5%2.18-0.95Home66.1%1.51 · 5.38 · 6.51
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30time provisionalGillingham vs Crewe AlexandraEFL League Two32.4%27.4%40.2%1-113.0%1.13-1.29Away40.2%3.09 · 3.65 · 2.49
12:30time provisionalNewport County vs Swindon TownEFL League Two33.9%25.5%40.6%1-112.1%1.30-1.45Away40.6%2.95 · 3.92 · 2.46
15:00time provisionalAccrington Stanley vs Salford CityEFL League Two21.5%24.0%54.5%0-111.6%0.98-1.71Away54.5%4.65 · 4.17 · 1.83
15:00time provisionalBarnet vs Port ValeEFL League Two52.7%24.4%22.9%1-111.6%1.67-1.01Home52.7%1.90 · 4.10 · 4.37
15:00time provisionalCheltenham Town vs Bristol RoversEFL League Two25.5%25.0%49.5%1-111.9%1.07-1.60Away49.5%3.93 · 4.00 · 2.02
15:00time provisionalChesterfield vs Shrewsbury TownEFL League Two69.1%18.8%12.1%2-012.5%2.15-0.77Home69.1%1.45 · 5.31 · 8.28
15:00time provisionalCrawley Town vs Fleetwood TownEFL League Two33.9%26.3%39.8%1-112.5%1.24-1.37Away39.8%2.95 · 3.80 · 2.51
15:00time provisionalGrimsby Town vs Rotherham UnitedEFL League Two52.0%24.6%23.4%1-111.7%1.65-1.02Home52.0%1.92 · 4.06 · 4.28
15:00time provisionalNorthampton Town vs RochdaleEFL League Two29.6%26.4%44.0%1-112.5%1.12-1.43Away44.0%3.38 · 3.79 · 2.27
15:00time provisionalOldham Athletic vs Exeter CityEFL League Two42.0%27.0%31.0%1-112.8%1.35-1.12Home42.0%2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23
15:00time provisionalTranmere Rovers vs Colchester UnitedEFL League Two27.3%26.1%46.6%1-112.4%1.07-1.48Away46.6%3.66 · 3.83 · 2.15
15:00time provisionalYork City vs WalsallEFL League Two56.9%23.2%20.0%1-011.5%1.79-0.96Home56.9%1.76 · 4.32 · 5.01
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
14:00time provisionalComo vs CagliariSerie A61.8%22.2%16.0%1-012.1%1.90-0.85Home61.8%1.62 · 4.51 · 6.23
14:00time provisionalLazio vs LecceSerie A56.6%24.8%18.6%1-013.7%1.66-0.83Home56.6%1.77 · 4.03 · 5.38
17:00time provisionalParma vs RomaSerie A21.0%25.2%53.8%0-112.7%0.91-1.63Away53.8%4.76 · 3.96 · 1.86
19:45time provisionalNapoli vs TorinoSerie A61.9%22.5%15.6%1-012.9%1.85-0.80Home61.9%1.62 · 4.44 · 6.41
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
15:00time provisionalAFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham ForestPremier League46.4%26.5%27.1%1-112.6%1.61-1.18Home46.4%2.16 · 3.77 · 3.69
15:00time provisionalAston Villa vs SunderlandPremier League63.9%20.8%15.3%2-19.9%2.21-1.01Home63.9%1.56 · 4.82 · 6.52
15:00time provisionalBrentford vs EvertonPremier League52.2%25.3%22.5%1-112.0%1.76-1.09Home52.2%1.92 · 3.95 · 4.44
15:00time provisionalChelsea vs Leeds UnitedPremier League53.9%24.7%21.3%1-111.7%1.81-1.07Home53.9%1.86 · 4.04 · 4.68
15:00time provisionalCoventry City vs Crystal PalacePremier League35.8%26.7%37.5%1-112.6%1.42-1.46Away37.5%2.79 · 3.74 · 2.67
15:00time provisionalHull City vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League30.5%26.2%43.3%1-112.3%1.32-1.61Away43.3%3.28 · 3.82 · 2.31
15:00time provisionalLiverpool vs Manchester UnitedPremier League46.8%26.5%26.8%1-112.6%1.62-1.18Home46.8%2.14 · 3.78 · 3.73
15:00time provisionalManchester City vs FulhamPremier League70.4%17.6%12.0%2-09.4%2.56-0.99Home70.4%1.42 · 5.68 · 8.33
15:00time provisionalNewcastle United vs ArsenalPremier League28.9%25.8%45.3%1-112.0%1.30-1.67Away45.3%3.46 · 3.88 · 2.21
15:00time provisionalTottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich TownPremier League51.7%23.8%24.5%1-110.8%1.92-1.27Home51.7%1.93 · 4.20 · 4.09
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
16:15time provisionalOGC Nice vs Paris Saint-GermainLigue 118.9%20.7%60.4%1-210.0%1.01-1.99Away60.4%5.30 · 4.83 · 1.66
19:45time provisionalAS Monaco vs AJ AuxerreLigue 154.7%22.0%23.3%1-110.3%1.86-1.14Home54.7%1.83 · 4.54 · 4.29
19:45time provisionalLOSC Lille vs Olympique LyonnaisLigue 149.7%23.5%26.8%1-111.1%1.67-1.16Home49.7%2.01 · 4.25 · 3.73
19:45time provisionalRC Lens vs Toulouse FCLigue 157.5%22.0%20.4%1-010.9%1.84-1.00Home57.5%1.74 · 4.54 · 4.90
19:45time provisionalRC Strasbourg Alsace vs Stade Brestois 29Ligue 159.2%21.0%19.8%2-110.0%1.96-1.04Home59.2%1.69 · 4.76 · 5.05
MODEL BREAKDOWN

Understand the forecast before the match

Preview: Manchester City win is the strongest published outcome at 70.4%. Even this outcome can lose.

Football predictions on Saturday, 21 November 2026: common questions

Who will win on Saturday, 21 November 2026?

Manchester City win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 70.4%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.

What are the best football predictions on Saturday, 21 November 2026?

Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.

Which matches are on on Saturday, 21 November 2026?

Saturday, 21 November 2026 has 53 active fixtures across EFL Championship, EFL League One, EFL League Two, Serie A, Premier League, Ligue 1. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.

Are these Premier League predictions today?

The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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