Who will win on Saturday, 21 November 2026?
Manchester City win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 70.4%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
53 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 6 competitions on Saturday, 21 November 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Manchester City win at 70.4%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 53 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30time provisional | Millwall vs Queens Park RangersEFL Championship | 62.6% | 21.9% | 15.5% | 1-013.0% | 1.87-0.80 | Home62.6% | 1.60 · 4.57 · 6.44 |
| 12:30time provisional | Norwich City vs Cardiff CityEFL Championship | 52.5% | 24.1% | 23.4% | 1-111.5% | 1.68-1.04 | Home52.5% | 1.91 · 4.14 · 4.27 |
| 12:30time provisional | Southampton vs Derby CountyEFL Championship | 53.4% | 24.1% | 22.6% | 1-111.4% | 1.69-1.01 | Home53.4% | 1.87 · 4.15 · 4.43 |
| 15:00time provisional | Bolton Wanderers vs PortsmouthEFL Championship | 39.4% | 26.5% | 34.1% | 1-112.6% | 1.34-1.23 | Home39.4% | 2.54 · 3.77 · 2.94 |
| 15:00time provisional | Lincoln City vs WrexhamEFL Championship | 38.7% | 26.4% | 34.9% | 1-112.6% | 1.34-1.26 | Home38.7% | 2.59 · 3.79 · 2.86 |
| 15:00time provisional | Middlesbrough vs Bristol CityEFL Championship | 54.1% | 24.1% | 21.8% | 1-011.8% | 1.69-0.98 | Home54.1% | 1.85 · 4.15 · 4.59 |
| 15:00time provisional | Sheffield United vs WatfordEFL Championship | 57.1% | 23.3% | 19.6% | 1-011.9% | 1.77-0.93 | Home57.1% | 1.75 · 4.30 · 5.10 |
| 15:00time provisional | Stoke City vs Birmingham CityEFL Championship | 28.0% | 26.8% | 45.2% | 1-112.7% | 1.04-1.40 | Away45.2% | 3.57 · 3.73 · 2.21 |
| 15:00time provisional | Swansea City vs West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship | 43.0% | 26.9% | 30.2% | 1-112.7% | 1.37-1.10 | Home43.0% | 2.33 · 3.72 · 3.32 |
| 15:00time provisional | West Ham United vs Preston North EndEFL Championship | 63.2% | 21.4% | 15.4% | 1-012.5% | 1.91-0.82 | Home63.2% | 1.58 · 4.66 · 6.50 |
| 15:00time provisional | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Charlton AthleticEFL Championship | 52.6% | 25.0% | 22.4% | 1-012.6% | 1.60-0.95 | Home52.6% | 1.90 · 3.99 · 4.46 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30time provisional | Blackpool vs Wigan AthleticEFL League One | 49.7% | 24.9% | 25.4% | 1-012.4% | 1.51-1.00 | Home49.7% | 2.01 · 4.01 · 3.94 |
| 12:30time provisional | Reading vs BromleyEFL League One | 45.0% | 24.8% | 30.3% | 1-111.8% | 1.49-1.17 | Home45.0% | 2.22 · 4.04 · 3.30 |
| 15:00time provisional | Bradford City vs Doncaster RoversEFL League One | 48.9% | 24.7% | 26.4% | 1-111.7% | 1.53-1.05 | Home48.9% | 2.04 · 4.05 · 3.78 |
| 15:00time provisional | Burton Albion vs Luton TownEFL League One | 27.0% | 24.7% | 48.3% | 1-111.8% | 1.07-1.52 | Away48.3% | 3.71 · 4.05 · 2.07 |
| 15:00time provisional | Cambridge United vs Stockport CountyEFL League One | 29.6% | 25.1% | 45.3% | 1-112.0% | 1.13-1.46 | Away45.3% | 3.38 · 3.98 · 2.21 |
| 15:00time provisional | Huddersfield Town vs Leicester CityEFL League One | 42.2% | 24.9% | 32.8% | 1-111.8% | 1.44-1.23 | Home42.2% | 2.37 · 4.01 · 3.05 |
| 15:00time provisional | Leyton Orient vs AFC WimbledonEFL League One | 50.5% | 24.5% | 25.0% | 1-012.1% | 1.55-1.01 | Home50.5% | 1.98 · 4.07 · 4.00 |
| 15:00time provisional | Mansfield Town vs MK DonsEFL League One | 51.7% | 23.5% | 24.8% | 1-111.2% | 1.66-1.07 | Home51.7% | 1.93 · 4.26 · 4.03 |
| 15:00time provisional | Notts County vs StevenageEFL League One | 37.6% | 26.3% | 36.1% | 1-112.5% | 1.25-1.21 | Home37.6% | 2.66 · 3.80 · 2.77 |
| 15:00time provisional | Oxford United vs Wycombe WanderersEFL League One | 45.8% | 25.0% | 29.2% | 1-111.9% | 1.48-1.12 | Home45.8% | 2.18 · 4.00 · 3.43 |
| 15:00time provisional | Plymouth Argyle vs Peterborough UnitedEFL League One | 66.1% | 18.6% | 15.4% | 2-010.5% | 2.18-0.95 | Home66.1% | 1.51 · 5.38 · 6.51 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30time provisional | Gillingham vs Crewe AlexandraEFL League Two | 32.4% | 27.4% | 40.2% | 1-113.0% | 1.13-1.29 | Away40.2% | 3.09 · 3.65 · 2.49 |
| 12:30time provisional | Newport County vs Swindon TownEFL League Two | 33.9% | 25.5% | 40.6% | 1-112.1% | 1.30-1.45 | Away40.6% | 2.95 · 3.92 · 2.46 |
| 15:00time provisional | Accrington Stanley vs Salford CityEFL League Two | 21.5% | 24.0% | 54.5% | 0-111.6% | 0.98-1.71 | Away54.5% | 4.65 · 4.17 · 1.83 |
| 15:00time provisional | Barnet vs Port ValeEFL League Two | 52.7% | 24.4% | 22.9% | 1-111.6% | 1.67-1.01 | Home52.7% | 1.90 · 4.10 · 4.37 |
| 15:00time provisional | Cheltenham Town vs Bristol RoversEFL League Two | 25.5% | 25.0% | 49.5% | 1-111.9% | 1.07-1.60 | Away49.5% | 3.93 · 4.00 · 2.02 |
| 15:00time provisional | Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury TownEFL League Two | 69.1% | 18.8% | 12.1% | 2-012.5% | 2.15-0.77 | Home69.1% | 1.45 · 5.31 · 8.28 |
| 15:00time provisional | Crawley Town vs Fleetwood TownEFL League Two | 33.9% | 26.3% | 39.8% | 1-112.5% | 1.24-1.37 | Away39.8% | 2.95 · 3.80 · 2.51 |
| 15:00time provisional | Grimsby Town vs Rotherham UnitedEFL League Two | 52.0% | 24.6% | 23.4% | 1-111.7% | 1.65-1.02 | Home52.0% | 1.92 · 4.06 · 4.28 |
| 15:00time provisional | Northampton Town vs RochdaleEFL League Two | 29.6% | 26.4% | 44.0% | 1-112.5% | 1.12-1.43 | Away44.0% | 3.38 · 3.79 · 2.27 |
| 15:00time provisional | Oldham Athletic vs Exeter CityEFL League Two | 42.0% | 27.0% | 31.0% | 1-112.8% | 1.35-1.12 | Home42.0% | 2.38 · 3.70 · 3.23 |
| 15:00time provisional | Tranmere Rovers vs Colchester UnitedEFL League Two | 27.3% | 26.1% | 46.6% | 1-112.4% | 1.07-1.48 | Away46.6% | 3.66 · 3.83 · 2.15 |
| 15:00time provisional | York City vs WalsallEFL League Two | 56.9% | 23.2% | 20.0% | 1-011.5% | 1.79-0.96 | Home56.9% | 1.76 · 4.32 · 5.01 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00time provisional | Como vs CagliariSerie A | 61.8% | 22.2% | 16.0% | 1-012.1% | 1.90-0.85 | Home61.8% | 1.62 · 4.51 · 6.23 |
| 14:00time provisional | Lazio vs LecceSerie A | 56.6% | 24.8% | 18.6% | 1-013.7% | 1.66-0.83 | Home56.6% | 1.77 · 4.03 · 5.38 |
| 17:00time provisional | Parma vs RomaSerie A | 21.0% | 25.2% | 53.8% | 0-112.7% | 0.91-1.63 | Away53.8% | 4.76 · 3.96 · 1.86 |
| 19:45time provisional | Napoli vs TorinoSerie A | 61.9% | 22.5% | 15.6% | 1-012.9% | 1.85-0.80 | Home61.9% | 1.62 · 4.44 · 6.41 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00time provisional | AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham ForestPremier League | 46.4% | 26.5% | 27.1% | 1-112.6% | 1.61-1.18 | Home46.4% | 2.16 · 3.77 · 3.69 |
| 15:00time provisional | Aston Villa vs SunderlandPremier League | 63.9% | 20.8% | 15.3% | 2-19.9% | 2.21-1.01 | Home63.9% | 1.56 · 4.82 · 6.52 |
| 15:00time provisional | Brentford vs EvertonPremier League | 52.2% | 25.3% | 22.5% | 1-112.0% | 1.76-1.09 | Home52.2% | 1.92 · 3.95 · 4.44 |
| 15:00time provisional | Chelsea vs Leeds UnitedPremier League | 53.9% | 24.7% | 21.3% | 1-111.7% | 1.81-1.07 | Home53.9% | 1.86 · 4.04 · 4.68 |
| 15:00time provisional | Coventry City vs Crystal PalacePremier League | 35.8% | 26.7% | 37.5% | 1-112.6% | 1.42-1.46 | Away37.5% | 2.79 · 3.74 · 2.67 |
| 15:00time provisional | Hull City vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League | 30.5% | 26.2% | 43.3% | 1-112.3% | 1.32-1.61 | Away43.3% | 3.28 · 3.82 · 2.31 |
| 15:00time provisional | Liverpool vs Manchester UnitedPremier League | 46.8% | 26.5% | 26.8% | 1-112.6% | 1.62-1.18 | Home46.8% | 2.14 · 3.78 · 3.73 |
| 15:00time provisional | Manchester City vs FulhamPremier League | 70.4% | 17.6% | 12.0% | 2-09.4% | 2.56-0.99 | Home70.4% | 1.42 · 5.68 · 8.33 |
| 15:00time provisional | Newcastle United vs ArsenalPremier League | 28.9% | 25.8% | 45.3% | 1-112.0% | 1.30-1.67 | Away45.3% | 3.46 · 3.88 · 2.21 |
| 15:00time provisional | Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich TownPremier League | 51.7% | 23.8% | 24.5% | 1-110.8% | 1.92-1.27 | Home51.7% | 1.93 · 4.20 · 4.09 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:15time provisional | OGC Nice vs Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1 | 18.9% | 20.7% | 60.4% | 1-210.0% | 1.01-1.99 | Away60.4% | 5.30 · 4.83 · 1.66 |
| 19:45time provisional | AS Monaco vs AJ AuxerreLigue 1 | 54.7% | 22.0% | 23.3% | 1-110.3% | 1.86-1.14 | Home54.7% | 1.83 · 4.54 · 4.29 |
| 19:45time provisional | LOSC Lille vs Olympique LyonnaisLigue 1 | 49.7% | 23.5% | 26.8% | 1-111.1% | 1.67-1.16 | Home49.7% | 2.01 · 4.25 · 3.73 |
| 19:45time provisional | RC Lens vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 | 57.5% | 22.0% | 20.4% | 1-010.9% | 1.84-1.00 | Home57.5% | 1.74 · 4.54 · 4.90 |
| 19:45time provisional | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 | 59.2% | 21.0% | 19.8% | 2-110.0% | 1.96-1.04 | Home59.2% | 1.69 · 4.76 · 5.05 |
Preview: Manchester City win is the strongest published outcome at 70.4%. Even this outcome can lose.
Manchester City win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 70.4%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Saturday, 21 November 2026 has 53 active fixtures across EFL Championship, EFL League One, EFL League Two, Serie A, Premier League, Ligue 1. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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