Brentford vs Everton prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 52.2%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
EvertonEVE50 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Everton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.0%
9.8%
9.3%
9.0%
6.7%
Brentford 1.76 · Everton 1.09
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
49.7% to 57.0%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 11
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Everton.
Matchweek 11
Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.12 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.025 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.033 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.067 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Everton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Everton?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 52.2%. The draw is 25.3%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Everton?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 12.0%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Everton?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.1% probability.
When is Brentford vs Everton?
Brentford vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional.
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