Brentford vs Everton prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 50.8%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Brentford vs Everton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.4%
9.8%
9.7%
9.0%
7.3%
Brentford 1.69 · Everton 1.07
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
47.9% to 56.9%
The Brentford home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
6 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Brentford and Everton.
Matchweek 11
Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.12 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.025 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.039 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.034 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Brentford vs Everton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Brentford vs Everton?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 50.8%. The draw is 26.0%.
What is the predicted score for Brentford vs Everton?
The most likely exact score is Brentford 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.
Will both teams score in Brentford vs Everton?
The model gives both teams to score a 54.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.0% probability.
When is Brentford vs Everton?
Brentford vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional.