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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 11 · SATURDAY, 21 NOVEMBER 2026

Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 52.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-110.2% exact-score probability
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Tottenham win52.4%
Draw23.1%
Ipswich win24.5%
Both teams score64.5%
Over 2.5 goals64.9%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Tottenham vs Ipswich scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

10.2%

#22-1

9.5%

#32-0

7.1%

#43-1

6.4%

#52-2

6.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Tottenham 2.01 · Ipswich 1.33

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

41.8% to 66.0%

The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

14 vs 16

Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Ipswich.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 11

Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.35 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.014 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.107 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.105 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Tottenham vs Ipswich prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 52.4%. The draw is 23.1%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 10.2%.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

The model gives both teams to score a 64.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 64.9% probability.

When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional.