Coventry City vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Coventry City win the strongest outcome at 37.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Coventry CityCOV32.2 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Coventry vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.8%
8.5%
8.2%
7.6%
7.4%
Coventry 1.43 · Crystal Palace 1.38
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
29.8% to 45.0%
The Coventry home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
20 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Coventry and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 11
Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.39 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.031 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.032 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.037 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Coventry vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
Coventry City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.4%. The draw is 27.1%.
What is the predicted score for Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is Coventry City 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.
Will both teams score in Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.3% probability.
When is Coventry City vs Crystal Palace?
Coventry City vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional.