Manchester City vs Fulham prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Manchester City win the strongest outcome at 66.2%. The most likely score is 2-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Manchester CityMCI69.1 projected points
FulhamFUL47 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Man City vs Fulham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.4%
8.3%
8.2%
7.8%
6.9%
Man City 2.48 · Fulham 1.13
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
57.5% to 73.9%
The Man City home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
2 vs 15
Current mean projected league positions for Man City and Fulham.
Matchweek 11
Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.57 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.019 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.151 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.101 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Man City vs Fulham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 66.2%. The draw is 18.8%.
What is the predicted score for Manchester City vs Fulham?
The most likely exact score is Manchester City 2-1 Fulham, with an estimated probability of 9.4%.
Will both teams score in Manchester City vs Fulham?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 69.9% probability.
When is Manchester City vs Fulham?
Manchester City vs Fulham is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional.