AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes AFC Bournemouth win the strongest outcome at 46.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
AFC BournemouthBOU51.4 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Bournemouth vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.7%
9.4%
9.2%
8.1%
7.3%
Bournemouth 1.59 · Nott'm Forest 1.16
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
41.0% to 52.7%
The Bournemouth home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
11 vs 13
Current mean projected league positions for Bournemouth and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 11
Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.11 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.012 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.022 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.024 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Bournemouth vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
AFC Bournemouth win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.5%. The draw is 26.7%.
What is the predicted score for AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is AFC Bournemouth 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.
Will both teams score in AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.0% probability.
When is AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest?
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional.