Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brighton & Hove Albion win the strongest outcome at 39.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Brighton & Hove AlbionBHA55.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Brighton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.9%
8.7%
8.0%
7.9%
7.2%
Hull 1.33 · Brighton 1.46
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
24.4% to 38.3%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 7
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Brighton.
Matchweek 11
Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.56 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.015 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.138 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.003 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Brighton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.3%. The draw is 27.2%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Brighton & Hove Albion, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.5% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.9% probability.
When is Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion?
Hull City vs Brighton & Hove Albion is scheduled for Saturday, 21 November 2026, time provisional.