Who will win on Saturday, 5 December 2026?
Napoli win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 67.8%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
23 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Saturday, 5 December 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Napoli win at 67.8%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 23 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30time provisional | Bolton Wanderers vs Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 41.9% | 26.9% | 31.2% | 1-112.8% | 1.35-1.13 | Home41.9% | 2.39 · 3.72 · 3.20 |
| 12:30time provisional | Bristol City vs Swansea CityEFL Championship | 39.7% | 26.8% | 33.5% | 1-112.7% | 1.33-1.20 | Home39.7% | 2.52 · 3.74 · 2.98 |
| 12:30time provisional | Middlesbrough vs Derby CountyEFL Championship | 48.1% | 25.5% | 26.4% | 1-112.1% | 1.53-1.07 | Home48.1% | 2.08 · 3.92 · 3.79 |
| 12:30time provisional | Watford vs MillwallEFL Championship | 23.4% | 25.7% | 51.0% | 0-112.8% | 0.95-1.54 | Away51.0% | 4.28 · 3.90 · 1.96 |
| 15:00time provisional | Cardiff City vs Lincoln CityEFL Championship | 39.1% | 26.6% | 34.3% | 1-112.6% | 1.33-1.23 | Home39.1% | 2.55 · 3.76 · 2.92 |
| 15:00time provisional | Charlton Athletic vs Birmingham CityEFL Championship | 32.3% | 27.1% | 40.6% | 1-112.8% | 1.15-1.32 | Away40.6% | 3.09 · 3.70 · 2.46 |
| 15:00time provisional | Norwich City vs WrexhamEFL Championship | 42.8% | 25.6% | 31.6% | 1-112.2% | 1.47-1.23 | Home42.8% | 2.34 · 3.91 · 3.16 |
| 15:00time provisional | Portsmouth vs West Bromwich AlbionEFL Championship | 41.0% | 27.1% | 31.9% | 1-112.8% | 1.33-1.14 | Home41.0% | 2.44 · 3.69 · 3.13 |
| 15:00time provisional | Stoke City vs Queens Park RangersEFL Championship | 40.2% | 27.0% | 32.7% | 1-112.8% | 1.32-1.16 | Home40.2% | 2.49 · 3.70 · 3.06 |
| 15:00time provisional | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs SouthamptonEFL Championship | 33.1% | 26.2% | 40.7% | 1-112.5% | 1.22-1.39 | Away40.7% | 3.02 · 3.82 · 2.46 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00time provisional | Monza vs ComoSerie A | 23.1% | 25.3% | 51.6% | 1-112.0% | 1.00-1.62 | Away51.6% | 4.33 · 3.96 · 1.94 |
| 17:00time provisional | Frosinone vs InterSerie A | 17.5% | 22.2% | 60.2% | 0-111.2% | 0.92-1.91 | Away60.2% | 5.71 · 4.50 · 1.66 |
| 19:45time provisional | Napoli vs LecceSerie A | 67.8% | 20.4% | 11.8% | 1-013.6% | 1.99-0.69 | Home67.8% | 1.47 · 4.90 · 8.48 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00time provisional | AFC Bournemouth vs Hull CityPremier League | 63.6% | 21.8% | 14.7% | 2-011.0% | 2.07-0.90 | Home63.6% | 1.57 · 4.60 · 6.81 |
| 20:00time provisional | Aston Villa vs Crystal PalacePremier League | 61.0% | 22.3% | 16.8% | 1-110.5% | 2.05-0.99 | Home61.0% | 1.64 · 4.49 · 5.96 |
| 20:00time provisional | Brentford vs Manchester CityPremier League | 33.7% | 25.1% | 41.2% | 1-111.3% | 1.50-1.68 | Away41.2% | 2.96 · 3.99 · 2.43 |
| 20:00time provisional | Chelsea vs LiverpoolPremier League | 38.2% | 27.3% | 34.5% | 1-113.0% | 1.43-1.35 | Home38.2% | 2.62 · 3.66 · 2.90 |
| 20:00time provisional | Everton vs FulhamPremier League | 40.7% | 28.4% | 30.8% | 1-113.6% | 1.39-1.18 | Home40.7% | 2.45 · 3.52 · 3.24 |
| 20:00time provisional | Leeds United vs Ipswich TownPremier League | 48.2% | 26.5% | 25.3% | 1-112.6% | 1.62-1.12 | Home48.2% | 2.08 · 3.77 · 3.95 |
| 20:00time provisional | Manchester United vs Coventry CityPremier League | 67.0% | 20.5% | 12.6% | 2-011.6% | 2.17-0.84 | Home67.0% | 1.49 · 4.89 · 7.95 |
| 20:00time provisional | Newcastle United vs SunderlandPremier League | 60.7% | 22.8% | 16.5% | 1-110.8% | 1.99-0.95 | Home60.7% | 1.65 · 4.40 · 6.05 |
| 20:00time provisional | Nottingham Forest vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League | 42.5% | 27.9% | 29.6% | 1-113.3% | 1.46-1.18 | Home42.5% | 2.35 · 3.59 · 3.38 |
| 20:00time provisional | Tottenham Hotspur vs ArsenalPremier League | 29.9% | 26.0% | 44.1% | 1-112.2% | 1.31-1.63 | Away44.1% | 3.35 · 3.84 · 2.27 |
Preview: Napoli win is the strongest published outcome at 67.8%. Even this outcome can lose.
Napoli win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 67.8%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Saturday, 5 December 2026 has 23 active fixtures across EFL Championship, Serie A, Premier League. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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