Who will win on Friday, 4 December 2026?
FC Bayern München win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 80.0%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
20 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 4 competitions on Friday, 4 December 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is FC Bayern München win at 80.0%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 20 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00time provisional | 1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SVBundesliga | 38.7% | 25.6% | 35.7% | 1-111.7% | 1.55-1.48 | Home38.7% | 2.58 · 3.91 · 2.80 |
| 00:00time provisional | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga | 64.3% | 19.7% | 16.0% | 2-19.5% | 2.34-1.09 | Home64.3% | 1.56 · 5.08 · 6.23 |
| 00:00time provisional | Eintracht Frankfurt vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga | 56.6% | 22.1% | 21.2% | 1-19.9% | 2.09-1.21 | Home56.6% | 1.77 · 4.52 · 4.71 |
| 00:00time provisional | FC Augsburg vs 1. FC KölnBundesliga | 48.9% | 24.6% | 26.5% | 1-111.4% | 1.78-1.26 | Home48.9% | 2.05 · 4.06 · 3.77 |
| 00:00time provisional | FC Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga | 80.0% | 12.7% | 7.4% | 3-09.2% | 3.08-0.88 | Home80.0% | 1.25 · 7.90 · 13.55 |
| 00:00time provisional | FC Schalke 04 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga | 19.3% | 21.2% | 59.5% | 1-29.6% | 1.18-2.20 | Away59.5% | 5.18 · 4.72 · 1.68 |
| 00:00time provisional | RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga | 55.7% | 22.9% | 21.5% | 1-110.5% | 1.99-1.16 | Home55.7% | 1.80 · 4.38 · 4.66 |
| 00:00time provisional | Sport-Club Freiburg vs TSG HoffenheimBundesliga | 41.6% | 24.4% | 34.0% | 1-110.7% | 1.73-1.55 | Home41.6% | 2.41 · 4.10 · 2.94 |
| 00:00time provisional | SV Elversberg vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga | 23.4% | 22.5% | 54.1% | 1-19.9% | 1.29-2.06 | Away54.1% | 4.28 · 4.44 · 1.85 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Bologna vs RomaSerie A | 29.0% | 26.9% | 44.1% | 1-112.8% | 1.10-1.43 | Away44.1% | 3.45 · 3.72 · 2.27 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00time provisional | Sheffield United vs West Ham UnitedEFL Championship | 34.3% | 26.4% | 39.2% | 1-112.6% | 1.24-1.34 | Away39.2% | 2.91 · 3.78 · 2.55 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00time provisional | AS Monaco vs Angers SCOLigue 1 | 71.2% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 2-011.3% | 2.35-0.85 | Home71.2% | 1.40 · 5.95 · 8.37 |
| 23:00time provisional | Estac Troyes vs Olympique LyonnaisLigue 1 | 28.8% | 23.5% | 47.8% | 1-111.0% | 1.24-1.67 | Away47.8% | 3.48 · 4.26 · 2.09 |
| 23:00time provisional | LOSC Lille vs AJ AuxerreLigue 1 | 57.1% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 1-011.0% | 1.82-1.00 | Home57.1% | 1.75 · 4.49 · 4.83 |
| 23:00time provisional | Olympique de Marseille vs OGC NiceLigue 1 | 60.8% | 20.6% | 18.6% | 2-110.0% | 2.00-1.01 | Home60.8% | 1.65 · 4.86 · 5.36 |
| 23:00time provisional | Paris FC vs Le Mans FCLigue 1 | 59.7% | 21.1% | 19.2% | 1-010.2% | 1.95-1.01 | Home59.7% | 1.68 · 4.74 · 5.20 |
| 23:00time provisional | RC Lens vs Havre Athletic ClubLigue 1 | 77.8% | 14.0% | 8.2% | 2-012.2% | 2.59-0.73 | Home77.8% | 1.29 · 7.16 · 12.15 |
| 23:00time provisional | RC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC LorientLigue 1 | 53.4% | 22.3% | 24.3% | 1-110.4% | 1.83-1.16 | Home53.4% | 1.87 · 4.49 · 4.11 |
| 23:00time provisional | Stade Rennais FC vs Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 | 61.5% | 20.1% | 18.4% | 2-110.0% | 2.06-1.03 | Home61.5% | 1.63 · 4.97 · 5.44 |
| 23:00time provisional | Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1 | 22.5% | 22.0% | 55.5% | 1-110.3% | 1.10-1.86 | Away55.5% | 4.44 · 4.55 · 1.80 |
Preview: FC Bayern München win is the strongest published outcome at 80.0%. Even this outcome can lose.
FC Bayern München win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 80.0%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Friday, 4 December 2026 has 20 active fixtures across Bundesliga, Serie A, EFL Championship, Ligue 1. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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