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THE PROBABILITY DESK · FRIDAY, 4 DECEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Friday, 4 December 2026

20 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 4 competitions on Friday, 4 December 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is FC Bayern München win at 80.0%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

ACTIVE FIXTURES20
COMPETITIONS4
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Friday, 4 December 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 20 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
00:00time provisional1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SVBundesliga38.7%25.6%35.7%1-111.7%1.55-1.48Home38.7%2.58 · 3.91 · 2.80
00:00time provisionalBayer 04 Leverkusen vs Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga64.3%19.7%16.0%2-19.5%2.34-1.09Home64.3%1.56 · 5.08 · 6.23
00:00time provisionalEintracht Frankfurt vs SV Werder BremenBundesliga56.6%22.1%21.2%1-19.9%2.09-1.21Home56.6%1.77 · 4.52 · 4.71
00:00time provisionalFC Augsburg vs 1. FC KölnBundesliga48.9%24.6%26.5%1-111.4%1.78-1.26Home48.9%2.05 · 4.06 · 3.77
00:00time provisionalFC Bayern München vs SC Paderborn 07Bundesliga80.0%12.7%7.4%3-09.2%3.08-0.88Home80.0%1.25 · 7.90 · 13.55
00:00time provisionalFC Schalke 04 vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga19.3%21.2%59.5%1-29.6%1.18-2.20Away59.5%5.18 · 4.72 · 1.68
00:00time provisionalRB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga55.7%22.9%21.5%1-110.5%1.99-1.16Home55.7%1.80 · 4.38 · 4.66
00:00time provisionalSport-Club Freiburg vs TSG HoffenheimBundesliga41.6%24.4%34.0%1-110.7%1.73-1.55Home41.6%2.41 · 4.10 · 2.94
00:00time provisionalSV Elversberg vs VfB StuttgartBundesliga23.4%22.5%54.1%1-19.9%1.29-2.06Away54.1%4.28 · 4.44 · 1.85
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalBologna vs RomaSerie A29.0%26.9%44.1%1-112.8%1.10-1.43Away44.1%3.45 · 3.72 · 2.27
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
20:00time provisionalSheffield United vs West Ham UnitedEFL Championship34.3%26.4%39.2%1-112.6%1.24-1.34Away39.2%2.91 · 3.78 · 2.55
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
23:00time provisionalAS Monaco vs Angers SCOLigue 171.2%16.8%12.0%2-011.3%2.35-0.85Home71.2%1.40 · 5.95 · 8.37
23:00time provisionalEstac Troyes vs Olympique LyonnaisLigue 128.8%23.5%47.8%1-111.0%1.24-1.67Away47.8%3.48 · 4.26 · 2.09
23:00time provisionalLOSC Lille vs AJ AuxerreLigue 157.1%22.3%20.7%1-011.0%1.82-1.00Home57.1%1.75 · 4.49 · 4.83
23:00time provisionalOlympique de Marseille vs OGC NiceLigue 160.8%20.6%18.6%2-110.0%2.00-1.01Home60.8%1.65 · 4.86 · 5.36
23:00time provisionalParis FC vs Le Mans FCLigue 159.7%21.1%19.2%1-010.2%1.95-1.01Home59.7%1.68 · 4.74 · 5.20
23:00time provisionalRC Lens vs Havre Athletic ClubLigue 177.8%14.0%8.2%2-012.2%2.59-0.73Home77.8%1.29 · 7.16 · 12.15
23:00time provisionalRC Strasbourg Alsace vs FC LorientLigue 153.4%22.3%24.3%1-110.4%1.83-1.16Home53.4%1.87 · 4.49 · 4.11
23:00time provisionalStade Rennais FC vs Stade Brestois 29Ligue 161.5%20.1%18.4%2-110.0%2.06-1.03Home61.5%1.63 · 4.97 · 5.44
23:00time provisionalToulouse FC vs Paris Saint-GermainLigue 122.5%22.0%55.5%1-110.3%1.10-1.86Away55.5%4.44 · 4.55 · 1.80
MODEL BREAKDOWN

Understand the forecast before the match

Preview: FC Bayern München win is the strongest published outcome at 80.0%. Even this outcome can lose.

Football predictions on Friday, 4 December 2026: common questions

Who will win on Friday, 4 December 2026?

FC Bayern München win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 80.0%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.

What are the best football predictions on Friday, 4 December 2026?

Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.

Which matches are on on Friday, 4 December 2026?

Friday, 4 December 2026 has 20 active fixtures across Bundesliga, Serie A, EFL Championship, Ligue 1. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.

Are these Premier League predictions today?

The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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