Who will win on Thursday, 5 November 2026?
Benfica win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 79.3%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
36 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 2 competitions on Thursday, 5 November 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Benfica win at 79.3%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. All listed kick-off times are confirmed.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Aarhus vs Sporting BragaUEFA Conference League | 16.4% | 20.4% | 63.2% | 0-210.2% | 0.97-2.11 | Away63.2% | 6.10 · 4.91 · 1.58 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Atalanta vs Kairat AlmatyUEFA Conference League | 79.3% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 2-011.5% | 2.76-0.74 | Home79.3% | 1.26 · 7.48 · 13.56 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'EscaldesUEFA Conference League | 68.0% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 2-011.2% | 2.23-0.87 | Home68.0% | 1.47 · 5.33 · 7.58 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | KuPS Kuopio vs GentUEFA Conference League | 29.4% | 25.0% | 45.6% | 1-111.8% | 1.24-1.60 | Away45.6% | 3.40 · 4.00 · 2.19 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Lincoln Red Imps vs Hajduk SplitUEFA Conference League | 29.8% | 25.2% | 45.0% | 1-111.9% | 1.24-1.57 | Away45.0% | 3.35 · 3.97 · 2.22 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Midtjylland vs AjaxUEFA Conference League | 25.9% | 24.2% | 49.9% | 1-111.4% | 1.17-1.71 | Away49.9% | 3.86 · 4.13 · 2.00 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Mjällby vs BoracUEFA Conference League | 38.1% | 25.7% | 36.2% | 1-112.1% | 1.42-1.37 | Home38.1% | 2.62 · 3.89 · 2.76 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Thun vs HeartsUEFA Conference League | 23.2% | 24.0% | 52.8% | 1-111.4% | 1.07-1.74 | Away52.8% | 4.31 · 4.17 · 1.89 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Trabzonspor vs Sport-Club FreiburgUEFA Conference League | 51.0% | 23.9% | 25.1% | 1-111.2% | 1.75-1.16 | Home51.0% | 1.96 · 4.18 · 3.98 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Copenhagen vs Iberia TbilisiUEFA Conference League | 66.1% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 2-010.9% | 2.16-0.90 | Home66.1% | 1.51 · 5.11 · 6.96 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Getafe vs Brighton & Hove AlbionUEFA Conference League | 44.6% | 26.6% | 28.8% | 1-112.6% | 1.44-1.11 | Home44.6% | 2.24 · 3.76 · 3.47 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Lugano vs Kauno ŽalgirisUEFA Conference League | 61.3% | 21.3% | 17.4% | 2-010.2% | 2.01-0.97 | Home61.3% | 1.63 · 4.69 · 5.74 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Monaco vs NordsjællandUEFA Conference League | 66.2% | 19.1% | 14.7% | 2-010.3% | 2.24-0.95 | Home66.2% | 1.51 · 5.23 · 6.80 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Panathinaikos vs CSKA SofiaUEFA Conference League | 65.5% | 19.9% | 14.6% | 2-011.1% | 2.12-0.89 | Home65.5% | 1.53 · 5.02 · 6.87 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Riga vs JablonecUEFA Conference League | 42.0% | 25.5% | 32.5% | 1-112.0% | 1.50-1.29 | Home42.0% | 2.38 · 3.92 · 3.08 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Sint-Truidense vs BrannUEFA Conference League | 43.1% | 25.4% | 31.5% | 1-112.0% | 1.53-1.27 | Home43.1% | 2.32 · 3.94 · 3.17 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Twente vs PafosUEFA Conference League | 70.3% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 2-011.6% | 2.29-0.82 | Home70.3% | 1.42 · 5.57 · 8.48 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Universitatea Craiova vs EgnatiaUEFA Conference League | 46.0% | 25.0% | 29.0% | 1-111.8% | 1.60-1.22 | Home46.0% | 2.17 · 4.00 · 3.45 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45confirmed schedule | AC Milan vs FerencvárosUEFA Europa League | 64.3% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 2-010.4% | 2.13-0.94 | Home64.3% | 1.55 · 4.98 · 6.40 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Anderlecht vs SalzburgUEFA Europa League | 44.2% | 25.2% | 30.6% | 1-111.9% | 1.56-1.26 | Home44.2% | 2.26 · 3.97 · 3.27 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Crystal Palace vs TSG HoffenheimUEFA Europa League | 40.4% | 25.8% | 33.8% | 1-112.2% | 1.45-1.30 | Home40.4% | 2.47 · 3.88 · 2.96 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Levski Sofia vs Jagiellonia BiałystokUEFA Europa League | 36.8% | 25.7% | 37.5% | 1-112.1% | 1.39-1.40 | Away37.5% | 2.72 · 3.89 · 2.66 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Lillestrøm vs Viktoria PlzeňUEFA Europa League | 39.4% | 25.6% | 34.9% | 1-112.1% | 1.44-1.35 | Home39.4% | 2.54 · 3.90 · 2.86 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | NEC Nijmegen vs OmoniaUEFA Europa League | 39.5% | 25.6% | 34.9% | 1-112.1% | 1.45-1.34 | Home39.5% | 2.53 · 3.90 · 2.87 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Real Sociedad vs Olympique LyonnaisUEFA Europa League | 37.3% | 25.6% | 37.1% | 1-112.0% | 1.41-1.40 | Home37.3% | 2.68 · 3.91 · 2.69 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Sparta Prague vs AFC BournemouthUEFA Europa League | 22.3% | 23.4% | 54.3% | 1-111.0% | 1.08-1.81 | Away54.3% | 4.48 · 4.28 · 1.84 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Stade Rennais FC vs OlympiacosUEFA Europa League | 44.6% | 25.2% | 30.2% | 1-111.9% | 1.57-1.25 | Home44.6% | 2.24 · 3.97 · 3.31 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | AZ Alkmaar vs JuventusUEFA Europa League | 31.2% | 25.8% | 43.0% | 1-112.2% | 1.23-1.49 | Away43.0% | 3.21 · 3.87 · 2.32 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Olympique de MarseilleUEFA Europa League | 52.1% | 23.3% | 24.5% | 1-110.9% | 1.82-1.18 | Home52.1% | 1.92 · 4.28 · 4.08 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Benfica vs Lech PoznańUEFA Europa League | 79.3% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 2-011.8% | 2.73-0.72 | Home79.3% | 1.26 · 7.45 · 13.79 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Celta de Vigo vs Union Saint-GilloiseUEFA Europa League | 30.4% | 25.8% | 43.8% | 1-112.2% | 1.21-1.50 | Away43.8% | 3.29 · 3.88 · 2.28 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Celtic vs BeşiktaşUEFA Europa League | 52.5% | 23.7% | 23.8% | 1-111.2% | 1.77-1.12 | Home52.5% | 1.91 · 4.22 · 4.20 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs OFI CreteUEFA Europa League | 40.6% | 25.2% | 34.2% | 1-111.8% | 1.50-1.36 | Home40.6% | 2.46 · 3.96 · 2.93 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Sturm Graz vs CeljeUEFA Europa League | 58.9% | 22.1% | 19.0% | 1-110.4% | 1.94-1.00 | Home58.9% | 1.70 · 4.53 · 5.26 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Sunderland vs GNK DinamoUEFA Europa League | 64.1% | 20.7% | 15.2% | 2-011.2% | 2.04-0.88 | Home64.1% | 1.56 · 4.83 · 6.57 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Torreense vs Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Europa League | 36.8% | 25.7% | 37.5% | 1-112.1% | 1.39-1.40 | Away37.5% | 2.72 · 3.89 · 2.66 |
Preview: Benfica win is the strongest published outcome at 79.3%. Even this outcome can lose.
Benfica win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 79.3%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Thursday, 5 November 2026 has 36 active fixtures across UEFA Conference League, UEFA Europa League. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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