Who will win on Wednesday, 4 November 2026?
Arsenal win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 70.5%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
13 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Wednesday, 4 November 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Arsenal win at 70.5%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 4 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45confirmed schedule | AEK Athens vs Real MadridUEFA Champions League | 24.7% | 23.9% | 51.4% | 1-111.2% | 1.14-1.75 | Away51.4% | 4.05 · 4.19 · 1.94 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Fenerbahçe vs LiverpoolUEFA Champions League | 39.1% | 24.6% | 36.3% | 1-111.3% | 1.53-1.47 | Home39.1% | 2.56 · 4.07 · 2.76 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Borussia Dortmund vs Real BetisUEFA Champions League | 54.7% | 23.0% | 22.3% | 1-110.8% | 1.85-1.10 | Home54.7% | 1.83 · 4.35 · 4.49 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | FC Porto vs NapoliUEFA Champions League | 45.2% | 25.4% | 29.4% | 1-112.1% | 1.55-1.20 | Home45.2% | 2.21 · 3.93 · 3.40 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | PSV Eindhoven vs Club BruggeUEFA Champions League | 50.4% | 23.3% | 26.3% | 1-110.7% | 1.82-1.26 | Home50.4% | 1.98 · 4.30 · 3.80 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | RB Leipzig vs Manchester CityUEFA Champions League | 34.7% | 25.5% | 39.8% | 1-112.0% | 1.35-1.47 | Away39.8% | 2.88 · 3.93 · 2.51 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | RC Lens vs ComoUEFA Champions League | 40.5% | 25.9% | 33.6% | 1-112.3% | 1.44-1.29 | Home40.5% | 2.47 · 3.86 · 2.98 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Slavia Prague vs ArsenalUEFA Champions League | 11.6% | 17.9% | 70.5% | 0-211.8% | 0.81-2.28 | Away70.5% | 8.62 · 5.58 · 1.42 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Viking vs SabahUEFA Champions League | 45.0% | 25.2% | 29.9% | 1-111.9% | 1.57-1.24 | Home45.0% | 2.22 · 3.97 · 3.35 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Cardiff City vs West Ham UnitedEFL Championship | 31.3% | 26.2% | 42.5% | 1-112.5% | 1.17-1.41 | Away42.5% | 3.20 · 3.81 · 2.36 |
| 19:45time provisional | Wrexham vs MiddlesbroughEFL Championship | 43.4% | 25.7% | 30.9% | 1-112.2% | 1.47-1.20 | Home43.4% | 2.31 · 3.89 · 3.24 |
| 20:00time provisional | Bristol City vs Wolverhampton WanderersEFL Championship | 39.1% | 27.0% | 33.9% | 1-112.8% | 1.30-1.19 | Home39.1% | 2.56 · 3.70 · 2.95 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Oxford United vs ReadingEFL League One | 50.8% | 23.8% | 25.4% | 1-111.3% | 1.62-1.07 | Home50.8% | 1.97 · 4.20 · 3.93 |
Preview: Arsenal win is the strongest published outcome at 70.5%. Even this outcome can lose.
Arsenal win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 70.5%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Wednesday, 4 November 2026 has 13 active fixtures across UEFA Champions League, EFL Championship, EFL League One. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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