Who will win on Thursday, 22 October 2026?
Union Saint-Gilloise win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 74.8%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
36 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 2 competitions on Thursday, 22 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Union Saint-Gilloise win at 74.8%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. All listed kick-off times are confirmed.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:30confirmed schedule | Kairat Almaty vs PanathinaikosUEFA Conference League | 21.1% | 23.2% | 55.7% | 1-111.0% | 1.03-1.82 | Away55.7% | 4.74 · 4.31 · 1.80 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Crvena Zvezda vs CopenhagenUEFA Conference League | 41.1% | 25.5% | 33.4% | 1-112.1% | 1.48-1.31 | Home41.1% | 2.43 · 3.91 · 3.00 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Getafe vs LuganoUEFA Conference League | 58.1% | 23.4% | 18.5% | 1-012.2% | 1.78-0.89 | Home58.1% | 1.72 · 4.28 · 5.41 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Iberia Tbilisi vs MjällbyUEFA Conference League | 48.0% | 24.7% | 27.3% | 1-111.7% | 1.65-1.18 | Home48.0% | 2.08 · 4.05 · 3.67 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Inter Club d'Escaldes vs Universitatea CraiovaUEFA Conference League | 38.1% | 25.7% | 36.2% | 1-112.1% | 1.42-1.37 | Home38.1% | 2.62 · 3.89 · 2.76 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Jablonec vs Brighton & Hove AlbionUEFA Conference League | 23.9% | 23.9% | 52.2% | 1-111.3% | 1.11-1.75 | Away52.2% | 4.18 · 4.19 · 1.91 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Kauno Žalgiris vs BrannUEFA Conference League | 30.7% | 25.3% | 44.1% | 1-111.9% | 1.25-1.55 | Away44.1% | 3.26 · 3.96 · 2.27 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Nordsjælland vs CSKA SofiaUEFA Conference League | 51.1% | 24.1% | 24.8% | 1-111.4% | 1.72-1.13 | Home51.1% | 1.96 · 4.15 · 4.04 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Pafos vs RigaUEFA Conference League | 52.2% | 23.9% | 23.9% | 1-111.3% | 1.75-1.11 | Home52.2% | 1.92 · 4.19 · 4.18 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Trabzonspor vs HeartsUEFA Conference League | 45.8% | 25.1% | 29.2% | 1-111.8% | 1.59-1.22 | Home45.8% | 2.19 · 3.99 · 3.43 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Aarhus vs EgnatiaUEFA Conference League | 52.2% | 23.9% | 23.9% | 1-111.3% | 1.75-1.11 | Home52.2% | 1.92 · 4.19 · 4.18 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Ajax vs AtalantaUEFA Conference League | 40.6% | 25.1% | 34.4% | 1-111.7% | 1.52-1.38 | Home40.6% | 2.47 · 3.99 · 2.91 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Borac vs KuPS KuopioUEFA Conference League | 43.0% | 25.4% | 31.6% | 1-112.0% | 1.53-1.27 | Home43.0% | 2.33 · 3.94 · 3.16 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Lincoln Red Imps vs TwenteUEFA Conference League | 11.8% | 17.9% | 70.3% | 0-211.6% | 0.82-2.29 | Away70.3% | 8.50 · 5.58 · 1.42 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Midtjylland vs Sint-TruidenseUEFA Conference League | 52.1% | 23.9% | 24.0% | 1-111.3% | 1.75-1.11 | Home52.1% | 1.92 · 4.18 · 4.16 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Monaco vs Sport-Club FreiburgUEFA Conference League | 56.0% | 22.4% | 21.6% | 1-110.4% | 1.92-1.11 | Home56.0% | 1.79 · 4.46 · 4.64 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Sporting Braga vs GentUEFA Conference League | 65.8% | 19.3% | 14.8% | 2-010.4% | 2.21-0.95 | Home65.8% | 1.52 · 5.17 · 6.75 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Thun vs Hajduk SplitUEFA Conference League | 39.1% | 25.7% | 35.3% | 1-112.1% | 1.44-1.35 | Home39.1% | 2.56 · 3.90 · 2.83 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Ararat-Armenia vs AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League | 24.0% | 24.0% | 52.0% | 1-111.3% | 1.10-1.74 | Away52.0% | 4.17 · 4.17 · 1.92 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Ferencváros vs TorreenseUEFA Europa League | 59.8% | 21.8% | 18.4% | 1-110.3% | 1.96-0.99 | Home59.8% | 1.67 · 4.59 · 5.44 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | GNK Dinamo vs NEC NijmegenUEFA Europa League | 51.4% | 24.1% | 24.5% | 1-111.4% | 1.73-1.12 | Home51.4% | 1.95 · 4.16 · 4.07 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Juventus vs Stade Rennais FCUEFA Europa League | 52.3% | 23.8% | 23.9% | 1-111.2% | 1.76-1.11 | Home52.3% | 1.91 · 4.19 · 4.18 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Lech Poznań vs SunderlandUEFA Europa League | 26.4% | 25.2% | 48.4% | 1-112.0% | 1.12-1.60 | Away48.4% | 3.79 · 3.97 · 2.07 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | OFI Crete vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenUEFA Europa League | 14.3% | 19.0% | 66.7% | 0-210.4% | 0.94-2.24 | Away66.7% | 6.98 · 5.26 · 1.50 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Sturm Graz vs Olympique de MarseilleUEFA Europa League | 28.6% | 24.5% | 46.9% | 1-111.5% | 1.25-1.66 | Away46.9% | 3.49 · 4.09 · 2.13 |
| 17:45confirmed schedule | Union Saint-Gilloise vs Hapoel Be'er ShevaUEFA Europa League | 74.8% | 15.9% | 9.2% | 2-012.3% | 2.45-0.74 | Home74.8% | 1.34 · 6.27 · 10.83 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | AFC Bournemouth vs AC MilanUEFA Europa League | 47.6% | 24.6% | 27.8% | 1-111.5% | 1.66-1.21 | Home47.6% | 2.10 · 4.07 · 3.59 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Beşiktaş vs Crystal PalaceUEFA Europa League | 47.4% | 25.5% | 27.1% | 1-112.1% | 1.57-1.12 | Home47.4% | 2.11 · 3.93 · 3.68 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Celje vs SalzburgUEFA Europa League | 29.2% | 25.1% | 45.7% | 1-111.8% | 1.22-1.59 | Away45.7% | 3.42 · 3.99 · 2.19 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Celtic vs Celta de VigoUEFA Europa League | 60.6% | 21.4% | 18.0% | 1-110.1% | 2.01-0.99 | Home60.6% | 1.65 · 4.68 · 5.56 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Jagiellonia Białystok vs AnderlechtUEFA Europa League | 34.1% | 25.5% | 40.4% | 1-112.0% | 1.34-1.48 | Away40.4% | 2.93 · 3.92 · 2.47 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Lillestrøm vs Real SociedadUEFA Europa League | 25.9% | 24.6% | 49.6% | 1-111.6% | 1.14-1.67 | Away49.6% | 3.87 · 4.07 · 2.02 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Olympiacos vs Sparta PragueUEFA Europa League | 63.0% | 20.9% | 16.1% | 2-010.8% | 2.03-0.91 | Home63.0% | 1.59 · 4.78 · 6.23 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Omonia vs BenficaUEFA Europa League | 11.3% | 17.2% | 71.5% | 0-211.4% | 0.83-2.37 | Away71.5% | 8.87 · 5.80 · 1.40 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | TSG Hoffenheim vs Olympique LyonnaisUEFA Europa League | 40.1% | 24.9% | 35.0% | 1-111.6% | 1.52-1.41 | Home40.1% | 2.49 · 4.01 · 2.86 |
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Viktoria Plzeň vs Levski SofiaUEFA Europa League | 53.4% | 23.6% | 23.0% | 1-111.1% | 1.78-1.09 | Home53.4% | 1.87 · 4.24 · 4.35 |
Preview: Union Saint-Gilloise win is the strongest published outcome at 74.8%. Even this outcome can lose.
Union Saint-Gilloise win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 74.8%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Thursday, 22 October 2026 has 36 active fixtures across UEFA Conference League, UEFA Europa League. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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