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THE PROBABILITY DESK · FRIDAY, 23 OCTOBER 2026

Football predictions on Friday, 23 October 2026

3 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Friday, 23 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Middlesbrough win at 42.7%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES3
COMPETITIONS3
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Friday, 23 October 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 2 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalStade Brestois 29 vs OGC NiceLigue 140.6%24.7%34.7%1-111.7%1.45-1.32Home40.6%2.46 · 4.05 · 2.88
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
20:00time provisionalBolton Wanderers vs MiddlesbroughEFL Championship31.4%26.0%42.7%1-112.4%1.19-1.43Away42.7%3.19 · 3.85 · 2.34
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
20:00confirmed scheduleIpswich Town vs Nottingham ForestPremier League37.8%27.8%34.4%1-113.2%1.38-1.31Home37.8%2.65 · 3.60 · 2.90
DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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