Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
3 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Friday, 23 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Middlesbrough win at 42.7%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 2 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC NiceLigue 1 | 40.6% | 24.7% | 34.7% | 1-111.7% | 1.45-1.32 | Home40.6% | 2.46 · 4.05 · 2.88 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00time provisional | Bolton Wanderers vs MiddlesbroughEFL Championship | 31.4% | 26.0% | 42.7% | 1-112.4% | 1.19-1.43 | Away42.7% | 3.19 · 3.85 · 2.34 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Ipswich Town vs Nottingham ForestPremier League | 37.8% | 27.8% | 34.4% | 1-113.2% | 1.38-1.31 | Home37.8% | 2.65 · 3.60 · 2.90 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
Choose your Premier League club and save it to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.