Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Ipswich Town win the strongest outcome at 40.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.8%
8.8%
8.0%
7.8%
7.0%
Ipswich 1.49 · Nott'm Forest 1.32
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
29.7% to 49.8%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 13
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Nott'm Forest.
Matchweek 8
Friday, 23 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.35 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.001 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.141 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.013 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Ipswich Town win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 40.3%. The draw is 27.0%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 12.8%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.2% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest?
Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Friday, 23 October 2026 at 20:00 UK time.