THE PROBABILITY DESK · SUNDAY, 6 SEPTEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Sunday, 6 September 2026

16 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 6 competitions on Sunday, 6 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Málaga CF win at 60.9%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES16

COMPETITIONS6

CONFIRMED 3PM0

MODEL PATHS100,000

EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Sunday, 6 September 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 8 listed kick-off times are provisional.

EFL Championship

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
12:00time provisional	Birmingham City vs Wolverhampton WanderersEFL Championship	45.2%	26.5%	28.3%	1-112.6%	1.42-1.07	Home45.2%	2.21 · 3.77 · 3.54

Ligue 1

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
14:00time provisional	Estac Troyes vs RC Strasbourg AlsaceLigue 1	30.3%	23.8%	45.8%	1-111.2%	1.26-1.61	Away45.8%	3.30 · 4.19 · 2.18
16:15time provisional	Angers SCO vs Stade Rennais FCLigue 1	21.2%	22.0%	56.9%	1-110.4%	1.04-1.85	Away56.9%	4.73 · 4.55 · 1.76
19:45time provisional	Olympique de Marseille vs Paris FCLigue 1	50.2%	22.9%	26.9%	1-110.7%	1.74-1.21	Home50.2%	1.99 · 4.36 · 3.72

Premier League

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
14:00confirmed schedule	Everton vs Manchester UnitedPremier League	35.7%	28.1%	36.2%	1-113.4%	1.32-1.33	Away36.2%	2.80 · 3.56 · 2.76
16:30confirmed schedule	Arsenal vs ChelseaPremier League	58.3%	22.9%	18.8%	1-110.7%	2.00-1.06	Home58.3%	1.71 · 4.36 · 5.33

Serie A

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
14:00confirmed schedule	Frosinone vs VeneziaSerie A	40.6%	26.7%	32.7%	1-112.7%	1.39-1.22	Home40.6%	2.46 · 3.74 · 3.06
14:00confirmed schedule	Parma vs MonzaSerie A	40.9%	27.5%	31.5%	1-113.1%	1.33-1.14	Home40.9%	2.44 · 3.63 · 3.17
17:00confirmed schedule	Bologna vs SassuoloSerie A	48.8%	25.3%	26.0%	1-112.0%	1.61-1.11	Home48.8%	2.05 · 3.96 · 3.85
19:45confirmed schedule	Juventus vs MilanSerie A	46.9%	26.4%	26.7%	1-112.5%	1.50-1.06	Home46.9%	2.13 · 3.79 · 3.75

Bundesliga

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
14:30confirmed schedule	Hamburger SV vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga	40.1%	25.3%	34.7%	1-111.5%	1.60-1.48	Home40.1%	2.50 · 3.95 · 2.88
16:30confirmed schedule	Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC AugsburgBundesliga	52.7%	23.3%	24.0%	1-110.5%	1.95-1.26	Home52.7%	1.90 · 4.29 · 4.16

La Liga

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
15:15time provisional	Valencia CF vs FC BarcelonaLa Liga	24.9%	24.5%	50.7%	1-111.6%	1.08-1.65	Away50.7%	4.02 · 4.09 · 1.97
17:30time provisional	Deportivo Alavés vs CA OsasunaLa Liga	47.1%	26.3%	26.6%	1-112.5%	1.46-1.02	Home47.1%	2.12 · 3.80 · 3.77
17:30time provisional	Málaga CF vs Levante UDLa Liga	60.9%	21.9%	17.3%	1-011.6%	1.90-0.90	Home60.9%	1.64 · 4.58 · 5.78
20:00time provisional	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs Sevilla FCLa Liga	44.4%	26.0%	29.7%	1-112.4%	1.46-1.14	Home44.4%	2.25 · 3.85 · 3.37

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.