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THE PROBABILITY DESK · FRIDAY, 11 DECEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Friday, 11 December 2026

20 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 4 competitions on Friday, 11 December 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Borussia Dortmund win at 72.5%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

ACTIVE FIXTURES20
COMPETITIONS4
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Friday, 11 December 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 20 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
00:00time provisional1. FC Köln vs RB LeipzigBundesliga20.6%22.3%57.1%1-110.1%1.16-2.06Away57.1%4.85 · 4.49 · 1.75
00:00time provisional1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Sport-Club FreiburgBundesliga47.3%24.7%28.0%1-111.3%1.77-1.31Home47.3%2.11 · 4.06 · 3.57
00:00time provisionalBorussia Dortmund vs FC AugsburgBundesliga72.5%16.6%11.0%2-09.7%2.61-0.93Home72.5%1.38 · 6.04 · 9.12
00:00time provisionalBorussia Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga42.1%24.6%33.4%1-110.9%1.72-1.51Home42.1%2.38 · 4.07 · 3.00
00:00time provisionalHamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga49.6%23.7%26.7%1-110.5%1.90-1.35Home49.6%2.02 · 4.22 · 3.75
00:00time provisionalSC Paderborn 07 vs SV ElversbergBundesliga44.6%24.4%31.1%1-110.8%1.78-1.45Home44.6%2.24 · 4.10 · 3.22
00:00time provisionalSV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga18.8%21.2%60.0%1-29.6%1.15-2.19Away60.0%5.32 · 4.72 · 1.67
00:00time provisionalTSG Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga20.6%21.1%58.3%1-29.4%1.27-2.24Away58.3%4.85 · 4.74 · 1.71
00:00time provisionalVfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga65.5%19.6%14.9%2-19.6%2.31-1.01Home65.5%1.53 · 5.10 · 6.71
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalUdinese vs FrosinoneSerie A42.7%26.8%30.5%1-112.8%1.41-1.15Home42.7%2.34 · 3.73 · 3.28
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
20:00time provisionalBolton Wanderers vs WrexhamEFL Championship31.9%26.0%42.1%1-112.3%1.21-1.43Away42.1%3.14 · 3.85 · 2.37
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
23:00time provisionalAJ Auxerre vs Toulouse FCLigue 144.0%24.6%31.4%1-111.6%1.51-1.24Home44.0%2.27 · 4.07 · 3.19
23:00time provisionalAngers SCO vs RC Strasbourg AlsaceLigue 122.7%22.8%54.6%1-110.8%1.05-1.77Away54.6%4.41 · 4.39 · 1.83
23:00time provisionalFC Lorient vs LOSC LilleLigue 128.6%23.8%47.6%1-111.2%1.21-1.63Away47.6%3.50 · 4.20 · 2.10
23:00time provisionalHavre Athletic Club vs Le Mans FCLigue 132.3%24.3%43.4%1-111.4%1.29-1.53Away43.4%3.09 · 4.12 · 2.31
23:00time provisionalOGC Nice vs RC LensLigue 126.2%24.0%49.8%1-111.4%1.11-1.62Away49.8%3.81 · 4.17 · 2.01
23:00time provisionalOlympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 141.3%23.7%35.0%1-111.0%1.56-1.42Home41.3%2.42 · 4.22 · 2.86
23:00time provisionalParis Saint-Germain vs Paris FCLigue 162.7%19.8%17.5%2-110.0%2.09-1.01Home62.7%1.59 · 5.05 · 5.72
23:00time provisionalStade Brestois 29 vs Estac TroyesLigue 143.7%24.1%32.2%1-111.3%1.55-1.30Home43.7%2.29 · 4.14 · 3.11
23:00time provisionalStade Rennais FC vs AS MonacoLigue 142.7%23.3%33.9%1-110.7%1.62-1.42Home42.7%2.34 · 4.29 · 2.95
MODEL BREAKDOWN

Understand the forecast before the match

Preview: Borussia Dortmund win is the strongest published outcome at 72.5%. Even this outcome can lose.

Football predictions on Friday, 11 December 2026: common questions

Who will win on Friday, 11 December 2026?

Borussia Dortmund win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 72.5%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.

What are the best football predictions on Friday, 11 December 2026?

Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.

Which matches are on on Friday, 11 December 2026?

Friday, 11 December 2026 has 20 active fixtures across Bundesliga, Serie A, EFL Championship, Ligue 1. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.

Are these Premier League predictions today?

The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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