Who will win on Friday, 11 December 2026?
Borussia Dortmund win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 72.5%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
20 active verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 4 competitions on Friday, 11 December 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Borussia Dortmund win at 72.5%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 20 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:00time provisional | 1. FC Köln vs RB LeipzigBundesliga | 20.6% | 22.3% | 57.1% | 1-110.1% | 1.16-2.06 | Away57.1% | 4.85 · 4.49 · 1.75 |
| 00:00time provisional | 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Sport-Club FreiburgBundesliga | 47.3% | 24.7% | 28.0% | 1-111.3% | 1.77-1.31 | Home47.3% | 2.11 · 4.06 · 3.57 |
| 00:00time provisional | Borussia Dortmund vs FC AugsburgBundesliga | 72.5% | 16.6% | 11.0% | 2-09.7% | 2.61-0.93 | Home72.5% | 1.38 · 6.04 · 9.12 |
| 00:00time provisional | Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga | 42.1% | 24.6% | 33.4% | 1-110.9% | 1.72-1.51 | Home42.1% | 2.38 · 4.07 · 3.00 |
| 00:00time provisional | Hamburger SV vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga | 49.6% | 23.7% | 26.7% | 1-110.5% | 1.90-1.35 | Home49.6% | 2.02 · 4.22 · 3.75 |
| 00:00time provisional | SC Paderborn 07 vs SV ElversbergBundesliga | 44.6% | 24.4% | 31.1% | 1-110.8% | 1.78-1.45 | Home44.6% | 2.24 · 4.10 · 3.22 |
| 00:00time provisional | SV Werder Bremen vs Bayer 04 LeverkusenBundesliga | 18.8% | 21.2% | 60.0% | 1-29.6% | 1.15-2.19 | Away60.0% | 5.32 · 4.72 · 1.67 |
| 00:00time provisional | TSG Hoffenheim vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga | 20.6% | 21.1% | 58.3% | 1-29.4% | 1.27-2.24 | Away58.3% | 4.85 · 4.74 · 1.71 |
| 00:00time provisional | VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga | 65.5% | 19.6% | 14.9% | 2-19.6% | 2.31-1.01 | Home65.5% | 1.53 · 5.10 · 6.71 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Udinese vs FrosinoneSerie A | 42.7% | 26.8% | 30.5% | 1-112.8% | 1.41-1.15 | Home42.7% | 2.34 · 3.73 · 3.28 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00time provisional | Bolton Wanderers vs WrexhamEFL Championship | 31.9% | 26.0% | 42.1% | 1-112.3% | 1.21-1.43 | Away42.1% | 3.14 · 3.85 · 2.37 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00time provisional | AJ Auxerre vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 | 44.0% | 24.6% | 31.4% | 1-111.6% | 1.51-1.24 | Home44.0% | 2.27 · 4.07 · 3.19 |
| 23:00time provisional | Angers SCO vs RC Strasbourg AlsaceLigue 1 | 22.7% | 22.8% | 54.6% | 1-110.8% | 1.05-1.77 | Away54.6% | 4.41 · 4.39 · 1.83 |
| 23:00time provisional | FC Lorient vs LOSC LilleLigue 1 | 28.6% | 23.8% | 47.6% | 1-111.2% | 1.21-1.63 | Away47.6% | 3.50 · 4.20 · 2.10 |
| 23:00time provisional | Havre Athletic Club vs Le Mans FCLigue 1 | 32.3% | 24.3% | 43.4% | 1-111.4% | 1.29-1.53 | Away43.4% | 3.09 · 4.12 · 2.31 |
| 23:00time provisional | OGC Nice vs RC LensLigue 1 | 26.2% | 24.0% | 49.8% | 1-111.4% | 1.11-1.62 | Away49.8% | 3.81 · 4.17 · 2.01 |
| 23:00time provisional | Olympique Lyonnais vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1 | 41.3% | 23.7% | 35.0% | 1-111.0% | 1.56-1.42 | Home41.3% | 2.42 · 4.22 · 2.86 |
| 23:00time provisional | Paris Saint-Germain vs Paris FCLigue 1 | 62.7% | 19.8% | 17.5% | 2-110.0% | 2.09-1.01 | Home62.7% | 1.59 · 5.05 · 5.72 |
| 23:00time provisional | Stade Brestois 29 vs Estac TroyesLigue 1 | 43.7% | 24.1% | 32.2% | 1-111.3% | 1.55-1.30 | Home43.7% | 2.29 · 4.14 · 3.11 |
| 23:00time provisional | Stade Rennais FC vs AS MonacoLigue 1 | 42.7% | 23.3% | 33.9% | 1-110.7% | 1.62-1.42 | Home42.7% | 2.34 · 4.29 · 2.95 |
Preview: Borussia Dortmund win is the strongest published outcome at 72.5%. Even this outcome can lose.
Borussia Dortmund win has the highest published 1X2 probability on this board at 72.5%. That is an estimate, not a guaranteed winner.
Compare home, draw and away probabilities, expected goals and uncertainty rather than treating one pick as certain. The largest probability is not automatically a value bet: the offered price, freshness and model limitations also matter.
Friday, 11 December 2026 has 20 active fixtures across Bundesliga, Serie A, EFL Championship, Ligue 1. The board below shows teams, UK kick-off times and fixture status. Postponed and completed matches are labelled separately.
The board includes verified Premier League fixtures when scheduled on this date, alongside supported English and European competitions. Use Premier League fixture predictions for the complete league schedule.
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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