Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
23 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 6 competitions on Sunday, 13 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is FC Barcelona win at 72.7%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 14 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00time provisional | Athletic Club vs Elche CFLa Liga | 53.5% | 24.3% | 22.2% | 1-011.7% | 1.67-0.98 | Home53.5% | 1.87 · 4.12 · 4.51 |
| 01:00time provisional | CA Osasuna vs RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaLa Liga | 43.0% | 26.5% | 30.6% | 1-112.6% | 1.40-1.14 | Home43.0% | 2.33 · 3.78 · 3.27 |
| 01:00time provisional | Celta vs Málaga CFLa Liga | 50.6% | 24.5% | 24.8% | 1-111.7% | 1.64-1.07 | Home50.6% | 1.97 · 4.07 · 4.03 |
| 01:00time provisional | Getafe CF vs RC DeportivoLa Liga | 49.1% | 26.3% | 24.7% | 1-012.9% | 1.48-0.96 | Home49.1% | 2.04 · 3.81 · 4.06 |
| 01:00time provisional | Levante UD vs FC BarcelonaLa Liga | 10.5% | 16.7% | 72.7% | 0-212.0% | 0.78-2.37 | Away72.7% | 9.50 · 5.98 · 1.37 |
| 01:00time provisional | R. Racing Club vs Deportivo AlavésLa Liga | 30.9% | 26.7% | 42.4% | 1-112.7% | 1.13-1.38 | Away42.4% | 3.24 · 3.75 · 2.36 |
| 01:00time provisional | Real Madrid vs Rayo VallecanoLa Liga | 68.1% | 19.4% | 12.6% | 2-012.6% | 2.09-0.76 | Home68.1% | 1.47 · 5.16 · 7.96 |
| 01:00time provisional | Real Sociedad vs Atlético de MadridLa Liga | 32.9% | 26.2% | 41.0% | 1-112.4% | 1.22-1.39 | Away41.0% | 3.04 · 3.82 · 2.44 |
| 01:00time provisional | Sevilla FC vs Valencia CFLa Liga | 37.1% | 26.6% | 36.3% | 1-112.7% | 1.29-1.27 | Home37.1% | 2.70 · 3.76 · 2.75 |
| 01:00time provisional | Villarreal CF vs Real BetisLa Liga | 50.7% | 23.9% | 25.4% | 1-111.3% | 1.71-1.14 | Home50.7% | 1.97 · 4.19 · 3.94 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00confirmed schedule | Como vs ParmaSerie A | 58.5% | 23.6% | 17.9% | 1-012.6% | 1.77-0.87 | Home58.5% | 1.71 · 4.24 · 5.57 |
| 01:00confirmed schedule | Lazio vs MilanSerie A | 37.6% | 27.1% | 35.3% | 1-112.9% | 1.31-1.26 | Home37.6% | 2.66 · 3.69 · 2.84 |
| 01:00confirmed schedule | Torino vs RomaSerie A | 21.7% | 25.5% | 52.8% | 0-112.7% | 0.93-1.60 | Away52.8% | 4.61 · 3.93 · 1.89 |
| 14:00confirmed schedule | Lecce vs MonzaSerie A | 34.6% | 28.4% | 36.9% | 1-113.4% | 1.16-1.20 | Away36.9% | 2.89 · 3.52 · 2.71 |
| 17:00confirmed schedule | Napoli vs BolognaSerie A | 53.3% | 25.0% | 21.7% | 1-012.1% | 1.65-0.96 | Home53.3% | 1.87 · 4.00 · 4.61 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00time provisional | Sheffield United vs Wolverhampton WanderersEFL Championship | 43.0% | 26.4% | 30.6% | 1-112.5% | 1.41-1.14 | Home43.0% | 2.32 · 3.79 · 3.27 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00time provisional | LOSC Lille vs Estac TroyesLigue 1 | 65.4% | 19.4% | 15.2% | 2-011.1% | 2.09-0.90 | Home65.4% | 1.53 · 5.16 · 6.56 |
| 16:15time provisional | Le Mans FC vs RC LensLigue 1 | 22.4% | 22.6% | 55.0% | 1-110.7% | 1.05-1.78 | Away55.0% | 4.46 · 4.42 · 1.82 |
| 19:45time provisional | Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1 | 16.6% | 19.3% | 64.2% | 0-210.0% | 0.99-2.15 | Away64.2% | 6.03 · 5.19 · 1.56 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00confirmed schedule | Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove AlbionPremier League | 29.0% | 26.5% | 44.5% | 1-112.5% | 1.25-1.60 | Away44.5% | 3.44 · 3.78 · 2.25 |
| 16:30confirmed schedule | Manchester United vs Manchester CityPremier League | 42.1% | 25.5% | 32.3% | 1-111.7% | 1.65-1.43 | Home42.1% | 2.37 · 3.92 · 3.09 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30confirmed schedule | RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SVBundesliga | 60.6% | 20.9% | 18.5% | 2-19.6% | 2.22-1.16 | Home60.6% | 1.65 · 4.79 · 5.41 |
| 16:30confirmed schedule | SV Elversberg vs FC Bayern MünchenBundesliga | 13.9% | 18.1% | 68.0% | 1-29.2% | 1.07-2.53 | Away68.0% | 7.18 · 5.54 · 1.47 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.