Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
6 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 5 competitions on Friday, 4 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is VfB Stuttgart win at 71.3%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 3 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00time provisional | Olympique Lyonnais vs AJ AuxerreLigue 1 | 52.1% | 22.9% | 25.0% | 1-110.8% | 1.75-1.14 | Home52.1% | 1.92 · 4.37 · 3.99 |
| 20:05time provisional | Paris Saint-Germain vs AS MonacoLigue 1 | 58.8% | 20.5% | 20.7% | 2-19.9% | 2.04-1.13 | Home58.8% | 1.70 · 4.88 · 4.83 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30confirmed schedule | VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC KölnBundesliga | 71.3% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 2-09.5% | 2.59-0.97 | Home71.3% | 1.40 · 5.89 · 8.55 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45confirmed schedule | Genoa vs ComoSerie A | 23.0% | 25.8% | 51.2% | 0-112.4% | 0.96-1.57 | Away51.2% | 4.35 · 3.88 · 1.95 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00time provisional | Real Betis vs Real MadridLa Liga | 31.0% | 25.4% | 43.6% | 1-112.1% | 1.22-1.49 | Away43.6% | 3.23 · 3.93 · 2.30 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Ipswich Town vs LiverpoolPremier League | 32.3% | 25.5% | 42.3% | 1-111.7% | 1.43-1.66 | Away42.3% | 3.10 · 3.92 · 2.37 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.