Ipswich Town vs Liverpool prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 42.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Ipswich vs Liverpool scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.7%
9.0%
7.7%
6.7%
6.4%
Ipswich 1.43 · Liverpool 1.66
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
24.9% to 43.1%
The Ipswich home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 4
Current mean projected league positions for Ipswich and Liverpool.
Matchweek 3
Friday, 4 September 2026 at 20:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.74 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.023 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.204 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.044 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Ipswich vs Liverpool prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.3%. The draw is 25.5%.
What is the predicted score for Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
The most likely exact score is Ipswich Town 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 11.7%.
Will both teams score in Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 59.6% probability.
When is Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?
Ipswich Town vs Liverpool is scheduled for Friday, 4 September 2026 at 20:00 UK time.