Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Football predictions on Friday, 18 September 2026
13 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 5 competitions on Friday, 18 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is FC Bayern München win at 77.7%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
VERIFIED FIXTURES13
COMPETITIONS5
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION
Friday, 18 September 2026 football predictions
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 10 listed kick-off times are provisional.
Bundesliga
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:30confirmed schedule | FC Bayern München vs 1. FC Union BerlinBundesliga | 77.7% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2-010.0% | 2.84-0.84 | Home77.7% | 1.29 · 7.08 · 12.23 |
Serie A
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45confirmed schedule | Monza vs SassuoloSerie A | 37.5% | 26.5% | 35.9% | 1-112.6% | 1.35-1.31 | Home37.5% | 2.67 · 3.77 · 2.78 |
EFL Championship
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00time provisional | Bristol City vs WatfordEFL Championship | 53.1% | 24.7% | 22.2% | 1-012.2% | 1.63-0.96 | Home53.1% | 1.88 · 4.05 · 4.50 |
Premier League
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:00confirmed schedule | Brentford vs ChelseaPremier League | 40.0% | 26.0% | 34.0% | 1-112.1% | 1.57-1.43 | Home40.0% | 2.50 · 3.84 · 2.94 |
Ligue 1
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:00time provisional | AJ Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29Ligue 1 | 52.5% | 23.0% | 24.5% | 1-110.8% | 1.74-1.11 | Home52.5% | 1.90 · 4.35 · 4.08 |
| 23:00time provisional | Angers SCO vs Estac TroyesLigue 1 | 34.7% | 25.1% | 40.2% | 1-111.9% | 1.29-1.41 | Away40.2% | 2.88 · 3.99 · 2.49 |
| 23:00time provisional | AS Monaco vs RC LensLigue 1 | 40.6% | 24.1% | 35.3% | 1-111.3% | 1.50-1.38 | Home40.6% | 2.47 · 4.14 · 2.83 |
| 23:00time provisional | Le Mans FC vs FC LorientLigue 1 | 36.6% | 24.2% | 39.2% | 1-111.3% | 1.41-1.47 | Away39.2% | 2.73 · 4.13 · 2.55 |
| 23:00time provisional | OGC Nice vs LOSC LilleLigue 1 | 26.2% | 24.1% | 49.7% | 1-111.4% | 1.11-1.62 | Away49.7% | 3.81 · 4.16 · 2.01 |
| 23:00time provisional | Olympique de Marseille vs Paris Saint-GermainLigue 1 | 32.4% | 23.3% | 44.3% | 1-110.8% | 1.37-1.64 | Away44.3% | 3.09 · 4.29 · 2.26 |
| 23:00time provisional | Olympique Lyonnais vs Stade Rennais FCLigue 1 | 44.3% | 23.5% | 32.2% | 1-110.9% | 1.62-1.35 | Home44.3% | 2.26 · 4.25 · 3.11 |
| 23:00time provisional | Paris FC vs RC Strasbourg AlsaceLigue 1 | 43.3% | 24.1% | 32.6% | 1-111.3% | 1.54-1.31 | Home43.3% | 2.31 · 4.14 · 3.07 |
| 23:00time provisional | Toulouse FC vs Havre Athletic ClubLigue 1 | 65.8% | 19.1% | 15.1% | 2-010.9% | 2.13-0.91 | Home65.8% | 1.52 · 5.24 · 6.61 |
Dated evidence
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
No odds in the model
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
No synthetic fixtures
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.