THE PROBABILITY DESK · FRIDAY, 11 SEPTEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Friday, 11 September 2026

4 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 4 competitions on Friday, 11 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is West Ham United win at 47.2%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES4

COMPETITIONS4

CONFIRMED 3PM0

MODEL PATHS100,000

EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Friday, 11 September 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 2 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Bundesliga

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
19:30confirmed schedule	1. FC Union Berlin vs FC Schalke 04Bundesliga	43.5%	25.4%	31.1%	1-111.7%	1.65-1.36	Home43.5%	2.30 · 3.93 · 3.22

Ligue 1

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
19:45time provisional	Stade Rennais FC vs Olympique de MarseilleLigue 1	41.6%	23.6%	34.9%	1-110.9%	1.58-1.42	Home41.6%	2.40 · 4.24 · 2.87

Serie A

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
19:45confirmed schedule	Venezia vs FiorentinaSerie A	32.8%	26.8%	40.4%	1-112.7%	1.22-1.38	Away40.4%	3.05 · 3.73 · 2.47

EFL Championship

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
20:00time provisional	West Ham United vs WrexhamEFL Championship	47.2%	25.4%	27.4%	1-112.1%	1.53-1.11	Home47.2%	2.12 · 3.93 · 3.65

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.