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THE PROBABILITY DESK · TUESDAY, 20 OCTOBER 2026

Football predictions on Tuesday, 20 October 2026

24 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Tuesday, 20 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is York City win at 67.2%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES24
COMPETITIONS3
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Tuesday, 20 October 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 24 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalWolverhampton Wanderers vs PortsmouthEFL Championship45.8%26.2%28.0%1-112.4%1.45-1.08Home45.8%2.18 · 3.82 · 3.58
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalAFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield TownEFL League One25.4%24.3%50.3%0-111.7%1.04-1.57Away50.3%3.94 · 4.11 · 1.99
19:45time provisionalBlackpool vs MK DonsEFL League One47.2%24.4%28.3%1-111.6%1.54-1.13Home47.2%2.12 · 4.09 · 3.53
19:45time provisionalBromley vs Leicester CityEFL League One37.1%25.4%37.5%1-112.1%1.30-1.31Away37.5%2.69 · 3.94 · 2.67
19:45time provisionalBurton Albion vs Bradford CityEFL League One33.2%26.2%40.6%1-112.4%1.15-1.31Away40.6%3.01 · 3.82 · 2.46
19:45time provisionalCambridge United vs Wycombe WanderersEFL League One37.5%25.8%36.7%1-112.3%1.28-1.26Home37.5%2.67 · 3.87 · 2.73
19:45time provisionalDoncaster Rovers vs Stockport CountyEFL League One31.0%24.8%44.2%1-111.8%1.19-1.47Away44.2%3.23 · 4.03 · 2.26
19:45time provisionalHuddersfield Town vs Peterborough UnitedEFL League One55.8%22.0%22.2%1-110.4%1.83-1.07Home55.8%1.79 · 4.54 · 4.51
19:45time provisionalLuton Town vs BarnsleyEFL League One59.6%21.1%19.3%1-010.5%1.92-1.00Home59.6%1.68 · 4.74 · 5.17
19:45time provisionalNotts County vs Sheffield WednesdayEFL League One42.5%24.9%32.6%1-111.8%1.44-1.23Home42.5%2.35 · 4.02 · 3.07
19:45time provisionalOxford United vs Wigan AthleticEFL League One50.4%24.9%24.7%1-012.6%1.52-0.98Home50.4%1.98 · 4.01 · 4.05
19:45time provisionalStevenage vs Plymouth ArgyleEFL League One34.5%25.9%39.6%1-112.3%1.21-1.31Away39.6%2.90 · 3.86 · 2.53
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalBarnet vs Swindon TownEFL League Two57.7%22.3%20.0%1-110.5%1.89-1.02Home57.7%1.73 · 4.49 · 5.00
19:45time provisionalBristol Rovers vs Salford CityEFL League Two41.2%26.2%32.6%1-112.5%1.40-1.21Home41.2%2.43 · 3.81 · 3.07
19:45time provisionalCheltenham Town vs Fleetwood TownEFL League Two34.8%26.4%38.8%1-112.6%1.26-1.34Away38.8%2.88 · 3.78 · 2.58
19:45time provisionalChesterfield vs Colchester UnitedEFL League Two55.0%23.8%21.3%1-011.5%1.73-0.98Home55.0%1.82 · 4.21 · 4.70
19:45time provisionalCrawley Town vs Shrewsbury TownEFL League Two44.0%26.4%29.5%1-112.6%1.42-1.12Home44.0%2.27 · 3.78 · 3.39
19:45time provisionalExeter City vs Crewe AlexandraEFL League Two46.7%26.0%27.3%1-112.4%1.49-1.07Home46.7%2.14 · 3.85 · 3.66
19:45time provisionalNorthampton Town vs Tranmere RoversEFL League Two51.1%25.0%23.9%1-111.9%1.60-1.01Home51.1%1.96 · 4.00 · 4.18
19:45time provisionalRochdale vs Grimsby TownEFL League Two40.9%26.3%32.8%1-112.5%1.39-1.21Home40.9%2.45 · 3.80 · 3.05
19:45time provisionalRotherham United vs Newport CountyEFL League Two50.3%24.9%24.8%1-111.9%1.61-1.05Home50.3%1.99 · 4.01 · 4.04
19:45time provisionalWalsall vs Oldham AthleticEFL League Two34.3%27.1%38.7%1-112.9%1.20-1.29Away38.7%2.92 · 3.69 · 2.59
19:45time provisionalYork City vs Accrington StanleyEFL League Two67.2%19.5%13.2%2-012.1%2.10-0.80Home67.2%1.49 · 5.12 · 7.56
20:00time provisionalGillingham vs Port ValeEFL League Two28.2%27.0%44.8%1-112.8%1.04-1.39Away44.8%3.55 · 3.70 · 2.23
DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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