Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
24 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Tuesday, 20 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is York City win at 67.2%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 24 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Wolverhampton Wanderers vs PortsmouthEFL Championship | 45.8% | 26.2% | 28.0% | 1-112.4% | 1.45-1.08 | Home45.8% | 2.18 · 3.82 · 3.58 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | AFC Wimbledon vs Mansfield TownEFL League One | 25.4% | 24.3% | 50.3% | 0-111.7% | 1.04-1.57 | Away50.3% | 3.94 · 4.11 · 1.99 |
| 19:45time provisional | Blackpool vs MK DonsEFL League One | 47.2% | 24.4% | 28.3% | 1-111.6% | 1.54-1.13 | Home47.2% | 2.12 · 4.09 · 3.53 |
| 19:45time provisional | Bromley vs Leicester CityEFL League One | 37.1% | 25.4% | 37.5% | 1-112.1% | 1.30-1.31 | Away37.5% | 2.69 · 3.94 · 2.67 |
| 19:45time provisional | Burton Albion vs Bradford CityEFL League One | 33.2% | 26.2% | 40.6% | 1-112.4% | 1.15-1.31 | Away40.6% | 3.01 · 3.82 · 2.46 |
| 19:45time provisional | Cambridge United vs Wycombe WanderersEFL League One | 37.5% | 25.8% | 36.7% | 1-112.3% | 1.28-1.26 | Home37.5% | 2.67 · 3.87 · 2.73 |
| 19:45time provisional | Doncaster Rovers vs Stockport CountyEFL League One | 31.0% | 24.8% | 44.2% | 1-111.8% | 1.19-1.47 | Away44.2% | 3.23 · 4.03 · 2.26 |
| 19:45time provisional | Huddersfield Town vs Peterborough UnitedEFL League One | 55.8% | 22.0% | 22.2% | 1-110.4% | 1.83-1.07 | Home55.8% | 1.79 · 4.54 · 4.51 |
| 19:45time provisional | Luton Town vs BarnsleyEFL League One | 59.6% | 21.1% | 19.3% | 1-010.5% | 1.92-1.00 | Home59.6% | 1.68 · 4.74 · 5.17 |
| 19:45time provisional | Notts County vs Sheffield WednesdayEFL League One | 42.5% | 24.9% | 32.6% | 1-111.8% | 1.44-1.23 | Home42.5% | 2.35 · 4.02 · 3.07 |
| 19:45time provisional | Oxford United vs Wigan AthleticEFL League One | 50.4% | 24.9% | 24.7% | 1-012.6% | 1.52-0.98 | Home50.4% | 1.98 · 4.01 · 4.05 |
| 19:45time provisional | Stevenage vs Plymouth ArgyleEFL League One | 34.5% | 25.9% | 39.6% | 1-112.3% | 1.21-1.31 | Away39.6% | 2.90 · 3.86 · 2.53 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Barnet vs Swindon TownEFL League Two | 57.7% | 22.3% | 20.0% | 1-110.5% | 1.89-1.02 | Home57.7% | 1.73 · 4.49 · 5.00 |
| 19:45time provisional | Bristol Rovers vs Salford CityEFL League Two | 41.2% | 26.2% | 32.6% | 1-112.5% | 1.40-1.21 | Home41.2% | 2.43 · 3.81 · 3.07 |
| 19:45time provisional | Cheltenham Town vs Fleetwood TownEFL League Two | 34.8% | 26.4% | 38.8% | 1-112.6% | 1.26-1.34 | Away38.8% | 2.88 · 3.78 · 2.58 |
| 19:45time provisional | Chesterfield vs Colchester UnitedEFL League Two | 55.0% | 23.8% | 21.3% | 1-011.5% | 1.73-0.98 | Home55.0% | 1.82 · 4.21 · 4.70 |
| 19:45time provisional | Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury TownEFL League Two | 44.0% | 26.4% | 29.5% | 1-112.6% | 1.42-1.12 | Home44.0% | 2.27 · 3.78 · 3.39 |
| 19:45time provisional | Exeter City vs Crewe AlexandraEFL League Two | 46.7% | 26.0% | 27.3% | 1-112.4% | 1.49-1.07 | Home46.7% | 2.14 · 3.85 · 3.66 |
| 19:45time provisional | Northampton Town vs Tranmere RoversEFL League Two | 51.1% | 25.0% | 23.9% | 1-111.9% | 1.60-1.01 | Home51.1% | 1.96 · 4.00 · 4.18 |
| 19:45time provisional | Rochdale vs Grimsby TownEFL League Two | 40.9% | 26.3% | 32.8% | 1-112.5% | 1.39-1.21 | Home40.9% | 2.45 · 3.80 · 3.05 |
| 19:45time provisional | Rotherham United vs Newport CountyEFL League Two | 50.3% | 24.9% | 24.8% | 1-111.9% | 1.61-1.05 | Home50.3% | 1.99 · 4.01 · 4.04 |
| 19:45time provisional | Walsall vs Oldham AthleticEFL League Two | 34.3% | 27.1% | 38.7% | 1-112.9% | 1.20-1.29 | Away38.7% | 2.92 · 3.69 · 2.59 |
| 19:45time provisional | York City vs Accrington StanleyEFL League Two | 67.2% | 19.5% | 13.2% | 2-012.1% | 2.10-0.80 | Home67.2% | 1.49 · 5.12 · 7.56 |
| 20:00time provisional | Gillingham vs Port ValeEFL League Two | 28.2% | 27.0% | 44.8% | 1-112.8% | 1.04-1.39 | Away44.8% | 3.55 · 3.70 · 2.23 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
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