Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Football predictions on Sunday, 11 October 2026
14 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Sunday, 11 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is FC Barcelona win at 72.4%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
VERIFIED FIXTURES14
COMPETITIONS3
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION
Sunday, 11 October 2026 football predictions
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 11 listed kick-off times are provisional.
La Liga
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00time provisional | Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético de MadridLa Liga | 28.0% | 26.0% | 46.0% | 1-112.4% | 1.09-1.47 | Away46.0% | 3.57 · 3.84 · 2.18 |
| 01:00time provisional | Elche CF vs CeltaLa Liga | 40.0% | 26.3% | 33.7% | 1-112.5% | 1.37-1.23 | Home40.0% | 2.50 · 3.81 · 2.97 |
| 01:00time provisional | FC Barcelona vs Getafe CFLa Liga | 72.4% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 2-013.5% | 2.22-0.68 | Home72.4% | 1.38 · 5.69 · 9.99 |
| 01:00time provisional | Levante UD vs Sevilla FCLa Liga | 33.0% | 26.2% | 40.9% | 1-112.5% | 1.22-1.39 | Away40.9% | 3.03 · 3.82 · 2.45 |
| 01:00time provisional | Málaga CF vs RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaLa Liga | 48.6% | 25.2% | 26.1% | 1-112.0% | 1.56-1.08 | Home48.6% | 2.06 · 3.96 · 3.83 |
| 01:00time provisional | R. Racing Club vs Valencia CFLa Liga | 22.6% | 24.5% | 52.9% | 0-111.8% | 0.99-1.65 | Away52.9% | 4.42 · 4.09 · 1.89 |
| 01:00time provisional | Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic ClubLa Liga | 43.4% | 26.8% | 29.7% | 1-112.7% | 1.38-1.09 | Home43.4% | 2.30 · 3.73 · 3.36 |
| 01:00time provisional | Real Betis vs CA OsasunaLa Liga | 63.5% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 1-011.9% | 1.96-0.84 | Home63.5% | 1.57 · 4.74 · 6.48 |
| 01:00time provisional | Real Madrid vs Villarreal CFLa Liga | 59.2% | 21.5% | 19.3% | 1-110.1% | 1.97-1.03 | Home59.2% | 1.69 · 4.65 · 5.19 |
| 01:00time provisional | Real Sociedad vs RC DeportivoLa Liga | 51.5% | 24.6% | 23.9% | 1-111.7% | 1.64-1.04 | Home51.5% | 1.94 · 4.07 · 4.18 |
EFL Championship
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00time provisional | Southampton vs PortsmouthEFL Championship | 57.9% | 22.7% | 19.5% | 1-011.3% | 1.83-0.96 | Home57.9% | 1.73 · 4.41 · 5.14 |
Premier League
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00confirmed schedule | Crystal Palace vs Nottingham ForestPremier League | 37.0% | 27.3% | 35.7% | 1-113.0% | 1.40-1.37 | Home37.0% | 2.70 · 3.66 · 2.80 |
| 14:00confirmed schedule | Hull City vs EvertonPremier League | 35.3% | 28.7% | 36.0% | 1-113.7% | 1.27-1.28 | Away36.0% | 2.83 · 3.48 · 2.78 |
| 16:30confirmed schedule | Liverpool vs Manchester CityPremier League | 45.0% | 24.2% | 30.8% | 1-110.7% | 1.83-1.49 | Home45.0% | 2.22 · 4.13 · 3.25 |
Dated evidence
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
No odds in the model
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
No synthetic fixtures
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.