Hull City vs Everton prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Everton win the strongest outcome at 36.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Hull vs Everton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.7%
9.0%
8.9%
8.8%
8.1%
Hull 1.27 · Everton 1.28
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
29.4% to 40.3%
The Hull home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
17 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Hull and Everton.
Matchweek 6
Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.47 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.002 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.093 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.046 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Hull vs Everton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Hull City vs Everton?
Everton win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 36.0%. The draw is 28.7%.
What is the predicted score for Hull City vs Everton?
The most likely exact score is Hull City 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 13.7%.
Will both teams score in Hull City vs Everton?
The model gives both teams to score a 52.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 46.9% probability.
When is Hull City vs Everton?
Hull City vs Everton is scheduled for Sunday, 11 October 2026 at 14:00 UK time.