Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Football predictions on Saturday, 3 October 2026
24 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 2 competitions on Saturday, 3 October 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Chesterfield win at 71.1%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
VERIFIED FIXTURES24
COMPETITIONS2
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION
Saturday, 3 October 2026 football predictions
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 24 listed kick-off times are provisional.
EFL League Two
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:30time provisional | Chesterfield vs Tranmere RoversEFL League Two | 71.1% | 17.6% | 11.3% | 2-012.1% | 2.28-0.78 | Home71.1% | 1.41 · 5.67 · 8.86 |
| 15:00time provisional | Accrington Stanley vs Cheltenham TownEFL League Two | 38.0% | 26.5% | 35.5% | 1-112.6% | 1.32-1.27 | Home38.0% | 2.63 · 3.78 · 2.82 |
| 15:00time provisional | Barnet vs York CityEFL League Two | 45.8% | 25.3% | 28.8% | 1-112.0% | 1.54-1.17 | Home45.8% | 2.18 · 3.95 · 3.47 |
| 15:00time provisional | Colchester United vs Port ValeEFL League Two | 39.3% | 27.2% | 33.5% | 1-112.9% | 1.29-1.17 | Home39.3% | 2.55 · 3.67 · 2.98 |
| 15:00time provisional | Crewe Alexandra vs Bristol RoversEFL League Two | 33.0% | 26.6% | 40.4% | 1-112.6% | 1.20-1.36 | Away40.4% | 3.03 · 3.77 · 2.48 |
| 15:00time provisional | Exeter City vs Rotherham UnitedEFL League Two | 46.3% | 26.0% | 27.6% | 1-112.4% | 1.48-1.08 | Home46.3% | 2.16 · 3.84 · 3.62 |
| 15:00time provisional | Gillingham vs Newport CountyEFL League Two | 39.7% | 27.0% | 33.2% | 1-112.8% | 1.31-1.18 | Home39.7% | 2.52 · 3.70 · 3.01 |
| 15:00time provisional | Grimsby Town vs Shrewsbury TownEFL League Two | 63.9% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 1-012.4% | 1.94-0.81 | Home63.9% | 1.56 · 4.72 · 6.71 |
| 15:00time provisional | Northampton Town vs Oldham AthleticEFL League Two | 32.6% | 27.2% | 40.2% | 1-112.9% | 1.15-1.31 | Away40.2% | 3.07 · 3.68 · 2.49 |
| 15:00time provisional | Rochdale vs Swindon TownEFL League Two | 50.5% | 24.5% | 25.0% | 1-111.6% | 1.66-1.09 | Home50.5% | 1.98 · 4.09 · 4.00 |
| 15:00time provisional | Salford City vs Fleetwood TownEFL League Two | 53.7% | 24.2% | 22.1% | 1-011.6% | 1.69-0.99 | Home53.7% | 1.86 · 4.14 · 4.53 |
| 15:00time provisional | Walsall vs Crawley TownEFL League Two | 49.8% | 24.9% | 25.3% | 1-111.8% | 1.61-1.07 | Home49.8% | 2.01 · 4.02 · 3.95 |
EFL League One
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15:00time provisional | AFC Wimbledon vs StevenageEFL League One | 29.9% | 26.7% | 43.4% | 0-112.7% | 1.04-1.31 | Away43.4% | 3.35 · 3.75 · 2.30 |
| 15:00time provisional | Barnsley vs MK DonsEFL League One | 39.8% | 24.5% | 35.8% | 1-111.5% | 1.43-1.35 | Home39.8% | 2.51 · 4.09 · 2.79 |
| 15:00time provisional | Blackpool vs Leicester CityEFL League One | 43.6% | 24.9% | 31.4% | 1-111.9% | 1.45-1.19 | Home43.6% | 2.29 · 4.01 · 3.18 |
| 15:00time provisional | Bromley vs Wycombe WanderersEFL League One | 38.5% | 25.6% | 35.9% | 1-112.2% | 1.32-1.26 | Home38.5% | 2.60 · 3.91 · 2.79 |
| 15:00time provisional | Burton Albion vs Huddersfield TownEFL League One | 34.0% | 25.6% | 40.4% | 1-112.2% | 1.22-1.35 | Away40.4% | 2.94 · 3.91 · 2.47 |
| 15:00time provisional | Leyton Orient vs Plymouth ArgyleEFL League One | 28.3% | 24.1% | 47.6% | 1-111.4% | 1.16-1.58 | Away47.6% | 3.54 · 4.15 · 2.10 |
| 15:00time provisional | Luton Town vs Doncaster RoversEFL League One | 57.0% | 22.3% | 20.7% | 1-011.4% | 1.79-0.98 | Home57.0% | 1.75 · 4.48 · 4.83 |
| 15:00time provisional | Oxford United vs Stockport CountyEFL League One | 37.4% | 25.5% | 37.2% | 1-112.1% | 1.30-1.30 | Home37.4% | 2.68 · 3.93 · 2.69 |
| 15:00time provisional | Peterborough United vs Notts CountyEFL League One | 40.1% | 24.3% | 35.7% | 1-111.4% | 1.46-1.36 | Home40.1% | 2.50 · 4.12 · 2.80 |
| 15:00time provisional | Reading vs Bradford CityEFL League One | 39.1% | 25.6% | 35.4% | 1-112.2% | 1.33-1.25 | Home39.1% | 2.56 · 3.91 · 2.83 |
| 15:00time provisional | Sheffield Wednesday vs Cambridge UnitedEFL League One | 45.3% | 25.2% | 29.5% | 1-112.0% | 1.45-1.12 | Home45.3% | 2.21 · 3.96 · 3.39 |
| 15:00time provisional | Wigan Athletic vs Mansfield TownEFL League One | 33.3% | 26.0% | 40.7% | 1-112.3% | 1.17-1.32 | Away40.7% | 3.00 · 3.85 · 2.46 |
Dated evidence
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
No odds in the model
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
No synthetic fixtures
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.