THE FOOTBALL SIMULATORSign in →
THE PROBABILITY DESK · SATURDAY, 26 SEPTEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Saturday, 26 September 2026

24 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 2 competitions on Saturday, 26 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Stockport County win at 64.9%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES24
COMPETITIONS2
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Saturday, 26 September 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 24 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
12:30time provisionalCrawley Town vs BarnetEFL League Two20.0%22.8%57.2%0-110.9%0.99-1.83Away57.2%4.99 · 4.39 · 1.75
15:00time provisionalBristol Rovers vs Exeter CityEFL League Two46.4%25.9%27.8%1-112.3%1.50-1.10Home46.4%2.16 · 3.87 · 3.60
15:00time provisionalCheltenham Town vs ChesterfieldEFL League Two20.9%23.0%56.1%1-110.9%1.01-1.81Away56.1%4.80 · 4.34 · 1.78
15:00time provisionalFleetwood Town vs RochdaleEFL League Two32.2%26.6%41.3%1-112.6%1.18-1.38Away41.3%3.11 · 3.77 · 2.42
15:00time provisionalNewport County vs Grimsby TownEFL League Two25.7%24.8%49.5%1-111.8%1.09-1.62Away49.5%3.90 · 4.03 · 2.02
15:00time provisionalPort Vale vs Northampton TownEFL League Two50.7%25.3%24.0%1-012.1%1.57-1.00Home50.7%1.97 · 3.94 · 4.17
15:00time provisionalRotherham United vs Crewe AlexandraEFL League Two42.2%26.6%31.2%1-112.6%1.39-1.15Home42.2%2.37 · 3.76 · 3.21
15:00time provisionalShrewsbury Town vs Colchester UnitedEFL League Two28.2%26.9%44.9%1-112.7%1.04-1.39Away44.9%3.55 · 3.71 · 2.23
15:00time provisionalSwindon Town vs Accrington StanleyEFL League Two57.1%22.8%20.1%1-010.9%1.83-0.99Home57.1%1.75 · 4.39 · 4.97
15:00time provisionalTranmere Rovers vs WalsallEFL League Two31.7%26.3%42.0%1-112.5%1.19-1.41Away42.0%3.16 · 3.80 · 2.38
15:00time provisionalYork City vs GillinghamEFL League Two63.1%21.6%15.3%1-012.7%1.90-0.81Home63.1%1.58 · 4.62 · 6.54
17:30time provisionalOldham Athletic vs Salford CityEFL League Two37.1%27.0%35.9%1-112.8%1.27-1.24Home37.1%2.70 · 3.70 · 2.79
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
15:00time provisionalBradford City vs BarnsleyEFL League One51.3%23.6%25.0%1-111.2%1.65-1.07Home51.3%1.95 · 4.23 · 3.99
15:00time provisionalCambridge United vs AFC WimbledonEFL League One51.6%24.5%23.9%1-012.5%1.56-0.98Home51.6%1.94 · 4.09 · 4.18
15:00time provisionalDoncaster Rovers vs Oxford UnitedEFL League One37.1%25.4%37.5%1-112.1%1.30-1.31Away37.5%2.70 · 3.93 · 2.67
15:00time provisionalHuddersfield Town vs Luton TownEFL League One36.2%25.1%38.7%1-111.9%1.30-1.35Away38.7%2.76 · 3.98 · 2.59
15:00time provisionalLeicester City vs Wigan AthleticEFL League One50.2%24.7%25.1%1-012.3%1.53-1.00Home50.2%1.99 · 4.04 · 3.99
15:00time provisionalMansfield Town vs Leyton OrientEFL League One57.2%22.4%20.4%1-011.6%1.78-0.96Home57.2%1.75 · 4.47 · 4.90
15:00time provisionalMK Dons vs BromleyEFL League One47.5%24.5%28.0%1-111.7%1.53-1.12Home47.5%2.11 · 4.08 · 3.57
15:00time provisionalNotts County vs BlackpoolEFL League One36.8%25.1%38.2%1-111.9%1.32-1.35Away38.2%2.72 · 3.99 · 2.62
15:00time provisionalPlymouth Argyle vs Burton AlbionEFL League One64.0%20.0%16.0%1-011.3%2.00-0.88Home64.0%1.56 · 4.99 · 6.27
15:00time provisionalStevenage vs Sheffield WednesdayEFL League One47.2%25.7%27.0%1-012.6%1.43-1.01Home47.2%2.12 · 3.89 · 3.70
15:00time provisionalStockport County vs Peterborough UnitedEFL League One64.9%19.3%15.8%2-010.9%2.09-0.92Home64.9%1.54 · 5.18 · 6.34
15:00time provisionalWycombe Wanderers vs ReadingEFL League One48.7%24.2%27.1%1-111.5%1.58-1.11Home48.7%2.05 · 4.14 · 3.69
DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.