Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
5 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 2 competitions on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Real Madrid win at 57.3%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 5 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00time provisional | Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaLa Liga | 52.7% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 1-012.8% | 1.59-0.93 | Home52.7% | 1.90 · 3.98 · 4.52 |
| 19:00time provisional | Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia CFLa Liga | 35.3% | 27.3% | 37.4% | 1-112.9% | 1.20-1.25 | Away37.4% | 2.83 · 3.66 · 2.67 |
| 20:30time provisional | Elche CF vs Real MadridLa Liga | 19.8% | 22.9% | 57.3% | 0-111.3% | 0.96-1.81 | Away57.3% | 5.06 · 4.37 · 1.74 |
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Bristol City vs Lincoln CityEFL Championship | 38.7% | 26.9% | 34.4% | 1-112.8% | 1.30-1.21 | Home38.7% | 2.58 · 3.72 · 2.90 |
| 19:45time provisional | Middlesbrough vs MillwallEFL Championship | 41.1% | 26.9% | 32.0% | 1-112.8% | 1.34-1.15 | Home41.1% | 2.43 · 3.71 · 3.13 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.
Choose your Premier League club and save it to a personalised dashboard with its projected finish, projected points and major season probabilities. The live forecast remains free to explore.