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THE PROBABILITY DESK · TUESDAY, 15 SEPTEMBER 2026

Football predictions on Tuesday, 15 September 2026

5 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 2 competitions on Tuesday, 15 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Real Madrid win at 57.3%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES5
COMPETITIONS2
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Tuesday, 15 September 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 5 listed kick-off times are provisional.

Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
18:00time provisionalRayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaLa Liga52.7%25.1%22.1%1-012.8%1.59-0.93Home52.7%1.90 · 3.98 · 4.52
19:00time provisionalDeportivo Alavés vs Valencia CFLa Liga35.3%27.3%37.4%1-112.9%1.20-1.25Away37.4%2.83 · 3.66 · 2.67
20:30time provisionalElche CF vs Real MadridLa Liga19.8%22.9%57.3%0-111.3%0.96-1.81Away57.3%5.06 · 4.37 · 1.74
Kick-offFixtureHomeDrawAwayLikely scorexGStrongestFair odds
19:45time provisionalBristol City vs Lincoln CityEFL Championship38.7%26.9%34.4%1-112.8%1.30-1.21Home38.7%2.58 · 3.72 · 2.90
19:45time provisionalMiddlesbrough vs MillwallEFL Championship41.1%26.9%32.0%1-112.8%1.34-1.15Home41.1%2.43 · 3.71 · 3.13
DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.

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