Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
9 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 1 competitions on Wednesday, 16 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is FC Barcelona win at 88.7%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 9 listed kick-off times are provisional.
| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00time provisional | Atlético de Madrid vs CA OsasunaLa Liga | 66.6% | 19.8% | 13.6% | 2-012.1% | 2.06-0.81 | Home66.6% | 1.50 · 5.04 · 7.34 |
| 01:00time provisional | Deportivo Alavés vs Valencia CFLa Liga | 35.3% | 27.3% | 37.4% | 1-112.9% | 1.20-1.25 | Away37.4% | 2.83 · 3.66 · 2.67 |
| 01:00time provisional | Elche CF vs Real MadridLa Liga | 19.8% | 22.9% | 57.3% | 0-111.3% | 0.96-1.81 | Away57.3% | 5.06 · 4.37 · 1.74 |
| 01:00time provisional | FC Barcelona vs R. Racing ClubLa Liga | 88.7% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 3-012.7% | 3.32-0.56 | Home88.7% | 1.13 · 12.44 · 30.70 |
| 01:00time provisional | Levante UD vs Athletic ClubLa Liga | 25.8% | 25.1% | 49.2% | 1-111.9% | 1.07-1.58 | Away49.2% | 3.88 · 3.99 · 2.03 |
| 01:00time provisional | Málaga CF vs Villarreal CFLa Liga | 30.3% | 24.9% | 44.8% | 1-111.8% | 1.24-1.56 | Away44.8% | 3.30 · 4.02 · 2.23 |
| 01:00time provisional | Rayo Vallecano vs RCD Espanyol de BarcelonaLa Liga | 52.7% | 25.1% | 22.1% | 1-012.8% | 1.59-0.93 | Home52.7% | 1.90 · 3.98 · 4.52 |
| 01:00time provisional | RC Deportivo vs Sevilla FCLa Liga | 44.1% | 25.7% | 30.1% | 1-112.2% | 1.48-1.17 | Home44.1% | 2.27 · 3.89 · 3.32 |
| 01:00time provisional | Real Betis vs Getafe CFLa Liga | 55.6% | 24.6% | 19.8% | 1-013.4% | 1.64-0.86 | Home55.6% | 1.80 · 4.07 · 5.06 |
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.