Probabilities, not picks
Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.
Football predictions on Tuesday, 1 September 2026
27 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Tuesday, 1 September 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is Chesterfield win at 66.6%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.
VERIFIED FIXTURES27
COMPETITIONS3
CONFIRMED 3PM0
MODEL PATHS100,000
EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION
Tuesday, 1 September 2026 football predictions
Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. 27 listed kick-off times are provisional.
EFL Championship
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Birmingham City vs SouthamptonEFL Championship | 34.9% | 26.3% | 38.8% | 1-112.5% | 1.26-1.35 | Away38.8% | 2.86 · 3.81 · 2.58 |
| 19:45time provisional | Lincoln City vs Blackburn RoversEFL Championship | 48.9% | 26.0% | 25.1% | 1-012.4% | 1.50-0.99 | Home48.9% | 2.04 · 3.85 · 3.98 |
| 19:45time provisional | Portsmouth vs Derby CountyEFL Championship | 39.3% | 26.8% | 33.9% | 1-112.8% | 1.31-1.20 | Home39.3% | 2.55 · 3.72 · 2.95 |
| 19:45time provisional | Preston North End vs Bristol CityEFL Championship | 36.7% | 27.1% | 36.2% | 1-112.9% | 1.24-1.23 | Home36.7% | 2.72 · 3.69 · 2.76 |
| 19:45time provisional | Sheffield United vs Bolton WanderersEFL Championship | 50.0% | 24.9% | 25.1% | 1-111.9% | 1.60-1.06 | Home50.0% | 2.00 · 4.01 · 3.98 |
| 19:45time provisional | Swansea City vs WatfordEFL Championship | 57.0% | 23.5% | 19.5% | 1-012.2% | 1.74-0.91 | Home57.0% | 1.75 · 4.26 · 5.12 |
| 19:45time provisional | West Ham United vs Wolverhampton WanderersEFL Championship | 52.5% | 24.8% | 22.7% | 1-012.2% | 1.62-0.97 | Home52.5% | 1.91 · 4.03 · 4.40 |
| 20:00time provisional | Stoke City vs Norwich CityEFL Championship | 26.1% | 25.6% | 48.2% | 1-112.2% | 1.05-1.52 | Away48.2% | 3.83 · 3.90 · 2.07 |
EFL League One
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Bradford City vs Cambridge UnitedEFL League One | 49.9% | 24.9% | 25.3% | 1-012.4% | 1.52-1.00 | Home49.9% | 2.01 · 4.02 · 3.96 |
| 19:45time provisional | Bromley vs Leyton OrientEFL League One | 46.0% | 25.0% | 29.0% | 1-111.9% | 1.48-1.11 | Home46.0% | 2.17 · 4.00 · 3.45 |
| 19:45time provisional | Doncaster Rovers vs Notts CountyEFL League One | 45.7% | 24.4% | 29.9% | 1-111.6% | 1.52-1.18 | Home45.7% | 2.19 · 4.09 · 3.35 |
| 19:45time provisional | Huddersfield Town vs Oxford UnitedEFL League One | 41.6% | 25.2% | 33.2% | 1-112.0% | 1.40-1.22 | Home41.6% | 2.40 · 3.97 · 3.01 |
| 19:45time provisional | Leicester City vs Plymouth ArgyleEFL League One | 36.9% | 24.6% | 38.4% | 1-111.7% | 1.36-1.39 | Away38.4% | 2.71 · 4.06 · 2.60 |
| 19:45time provisional | Peterborough United vs StevenageEFL League One | 33.6% | 25.7% | 40.7% | 1-112.2% | 1.20-1.35 | Away40.7% | 2.98 · 3.90 · 2.46 |
| 19:45time provisional | Wycombe Wanderers vs Sheffield WednesdayEFL League One | 48.6% | 24.5% | 26.9% | 1-111.6% | 1.55-1.09 | Home48.6% | 2.06 · 4.09 · 3.72 |
EFL League Two
Full competition forecast →| Kick-off | Fixture | Home | Draw | Away | Likely score | xG | Strongest | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19:45time provisional | Accrington Stanley vs Grimsby TownEFL League Two | 21.5% | 23.9% | 54.6% | 0-111.5% | 0.98-1.72 | Away54.6% | 4.65 · 4.18 · 1.83 |
| 19:45time provisional | Bristol Rovers vs Colchester UnitedEFL League Two | 48.5% | 25.7% | 25.8% | 1-112.2% | 1.53-1.04 | Home48.5% | 2.06 · 3.89 · 3.88 |
| 19:45time provisional | Cheltenham Town vs York CityEFL League Two | 23.3% | 24.2% | 52.5% | 1-111.5% | 1.04-1.68 | Away52.5% | 4.30 · 4.13 · 1.91 |
| 19:45time provisional | Chesterfield vs GillinghamEFL League Two | 66.6% | 20.0% | 13.4% | 2-012.3% | 2.04-0.79 | Home66.6% | 1.50 · 5.00 · 7.46 |
| 19:45time provisional | Crewe Alexandra vs WalsallEFL League Two | 44.2% | 26.2% | 29.6% | 1-112.5% | 1.45-1.13 | Home44.2% | 2.26 · 3.82 · 3.38 |
| 19:45time provisional | Exeter City vs BarnetEFL League Two | 32.2% | 26.1% | 41.7% | 1-112.4% | 1.21-1.42 | Away41.7% | 3.11 · 3.83 · 2.40 |
| 19:45time provisional | Fleetwood Town vs Oldham AthleticEFL League Two | 35.2% | 27.2% | 37.6% | 1-112.9% | 1.21-1.26 | Away37.6% | 2.84 · 3.68 · 2.66 |
| 19:45time provisional | Northampton Town vs Crawley TownEFL League Two | 47.8% | 25.5% | 26.7% | 1-112.1% | 1.54-1.09 | Home47.8% | 2.09 · 3.93 · 3.74 |
| 19:45time provisional | Rochdale vs Shrewsbury TownEFL League Two | 62.3% | 22.0% | 15.7% | 1-012.8% | 1.87-0.81 | Home62.3% | 1.60 · 4.55 · 6.37 |
| 19:45time provisional | Salford City vs Newport CountyEFL League Two | 60.7% | 21.8% | 17.5% | 1-011.3% | 1.91-0.92 | Home60.7% | 1.65 · 4.58 · 5.72 |
| 19:45time provisional | Swindon Town vs Port ValeEFL League Two | 38.6% | 26.1% | 35.3% | 1-112.4% | 1.36-1.29 | Home38.6% | 2.59 · 3.83 · 2.83 |
| 19:45time provisional | Tranmere Rovers vs Rotherham UnitedEFL League Two | 29.2% | 26.2% | 44.6% | 1-112.4% | 1.12-1.45 | Away44.6% | 3.43 · 3.82 · 2.24 |
Dated evidence
Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.
No odds in the model
Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.
No synthetic fixtures
Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.