THE PROBABILITY DESK · MONDAY, 31 AUGUST 2026

Football predictions on Monday, 31 August 2026

5 verified-schedule fixtures are listed across 3 competitions on Monday, 31 August 2026. The highest single 1X2 probability is FC Barcelona win at 69.9%; it is an estimate, not a guarantee.

VERIFIED FIXTURES5

COMPETITIONS3

CONFIRMED 3PM0

MODEL PATHS100,000

EVERY SUPPORTED COMPETITION

Monday, 31 August 2026 football predictions

Probabilities are generated independently of bookmaker prices. Fair odds are the decimal inverse of the model probability and do not include a safety margin. All listed kick-off times are confirmed.

Serie A

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
17:30confirmed schedule	Lecce vs RomaSerie A	16.8%	24.0%	59.2%	0-113.8%	0.79-1.72	Away59.2%	5.94 · 4.17 · 1.69
19:45confirmed schedule	Atalanta vs BolognaSerie A	47.4%	25.9%	26.8%	1-112.3%	1.55-1.10	Home47.4%	2.11 · 3.87 · 3.74

La Liga

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
18:30confirmed schedule	CA Osasuna vs Getafe CFLa Liga	38.1%	28.2%	33.6%	1-113.2%	1.20-1.11	Home38.1%	2.62 · 3.54 · 2.97
20:30confirmed schedule	FC Barcelona vs Rayo VallecanoLa Liga	69.9%	18.5%	11.7%	2-012.6%	2.17-0.75	Home69.9%	1.43 · 5.41 · 8.58

Premier League

Full competition forecast →

Kick-off	Fixture	Home	Draw	Away	Likely score	xG	Strongest	Fair odds
20:00confirmed schedule	Aston Villa vs ArsenalPremier League	29.4%	26.3%	44.3%	1-112.4%	1.27-1.61	Away44.3%	3.40 · 3.80 · 2.26

DIRECT ANSWER

Probabilities, not picks

Every outcome is expressed as a chance. The largest chance can still lose.

FRESHNESS

Dated evidence

Fixture status, model version and update date are published beside the board.

SEPARATION

No odds in the model

Bookmaker prices never change the core sporting forecast.

PROVENANCE

No synthetic fixtures

Model-draw and format-only UEFA pairings are excluded from daily listings.