Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 58.3%. The most likely score is 2-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Tottenham vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
9.7%
9.7%
8.0%
7.0%
6.7%
Tottenham 2.16 · Sunderland 1.21
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
52.6% to 67.6%
The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
14 vs 19
Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Sunderland.
Matchweek 23
Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.27 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.002 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.118 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.081 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Tottenham vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland?
Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 58.3%. The draw is 21.8%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 2-1 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 9.7%.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 65.4% probability.
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Sunderland is scheduled for Saturday, 30 January 2027, time provisional.