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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 29 · SATURDAY, 13 MARCH 2027

Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 45.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.5% exact-score probability
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
Tottenham win45.1%
Draw25.1%
Nott'm Forest win29.8%
Both teams score62.4%
Over 2.5 goals60.1%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Tottenham vs Nott'm Forest scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.5%

#22-1

9.2%

#31-2

7.3%

#41-0

6.9%

#52-0

6.7%

EXPECTED GOALS

Tottenham 1.73 · Nott'm Forest 1.38

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

37.8% to 53.6%

The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

14 vs 13

Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Nott'm Forest.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 29

Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

neutral

Latent strength

+0 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.012 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.034 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.092 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Tottenham vs Nott'm Forest prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?

Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 45.1%. The draw is 25.1%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?

The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Nottingham Forest, with an estimated probability of 11.5%.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?

The model gives both teams to score a 62.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.1% probability.

When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Nottingham Forest is scheduled for Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional.