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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 33 · SATURDAY, 24 APRIL 2027

Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 58.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-110.3% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
Tottenham win58.1%
Draw22.4%
Hull win19.4%
Both teams score59.9%
Over 2.5 goals61.9%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Tottenham vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

10.3%

#22-1

9.9%

#32-0

8.7%

#41-0

7.7%

#53-1

6.8%

EXPECTED GOALS

Tottenham 2.07 · Hull 1.13

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

48.6% to 65.5%

The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

14 vs 17

Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 33

Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.55 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.014 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.021 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.198 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Tottenham vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City?

Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 58.1%. The draw is 22.4%.

What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 10.3%.

Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 59.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.9% probability.

When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City?

Tottenham Hotspur vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional.