Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 48.7%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Tottenham HotspurTOT46.2 projected points
Crystal PalaceCRY47.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Tottenham vs Crystal Palace scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.0%
9.5%
7.1%
6.8%
6.8%
Tottenham 1.85 · Crystal Palace 1.34
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
43.3% to 53.5%
The Tottenham home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
14 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Tottenham and Crystal Palace.
Matchweek 9
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.04 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.045 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.024 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.058 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Tottenham vs Crystal Palace prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.7%. The draw is 24.3%.
What is the predicted score for Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
The most likely exact score is Tottenham Hotspur 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.
Will both teams score in Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 61.7% probability.
When is Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace?
Tottenham Hotspur vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 17:30 UK time.
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