Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Tottenham Hotspur win the strongest outcome at 37.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.0%
8.4%
8.3%
6.8%
5.4%
Sunderland 1.63 · Tottenham 1.64
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
29.5% to 44.8%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Tottenham.
Matchweek 12
Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.27 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.002 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.118 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.081 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Tottenham Hotspur win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.9%. The draw is 24.8%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 11.0%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 65.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 63.4% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Sunderland vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional.