Sunderland vs Liverpool prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 48.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Liverpool scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.8%
9.5%
7.8%
7.6%
6.9%
Sunderland 1.26 · Liverpool 1.75
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
23.6% to 32.6%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 4
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Liverpool.
Matchweek 20
Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.66 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.039 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.02 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.019 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Liverpool prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.0%. The draw is 25.3%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Liverpool?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Liverpool?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.8% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Liverpool?
Sunderland vs Liverpool is scheduled for Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional.