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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 31 · SATURDAY, 10 APRIL 2027

Sunderland vs Ipswich Town prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Sunderland win the strongest outcome at 39.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

SunderlandSUN37.1 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.2% exact-score probability
Ipswich TownIPS47.6 projected points
Sunderland win39.4%
Draw26.2%
Ipswich win34.3%
Both teams score60.6%
Over 2.5 goals56.9%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Sunderland vs Ipswich scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.2%

#22-1

8.7%

#31-2

8.1%

#41-0

7.0%

#50-1

6.4%

EXPECTED GOALS

Sunderland 1.54 · Ipswich 1.43

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

33.1% to 47.1%

The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

20 vs 13

Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Ipswich.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 31

Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.08 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.016 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.214 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.083 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Sunderland vs Ipswich prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?

Sunderland win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.4%. The draw is 26.2%.

What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?

The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 12.2%.

Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?

The model gives both teams to score a 60.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.9% probability.

When is Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?

Sunderland vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional.

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