Sunderland vs Ipswich Town prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Sunderland win the strongest outcome at 41.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
Ipswich TownIPS46.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Ipswich scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.3%
8.9%
7.8%
7.4%
6.5%
Sunderland 1.56 · Ipswich 1.38
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
32.6% to 50.9%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 16
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Ipswich.
Matchweek 31
Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.08 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.225 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.024 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Ipswich prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?
Sunderland win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 41.0%. The draw is 26.3%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Ipswich Town, with an estimated probability of 12.3%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.3% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Ipswich Town?
Sunderland vs Ipswich Town is scheduled for Saturday, 10 April 2027, time provisional.