Sunderland vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Sunderland win the strongest outcome at 46.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
Hull CityHUL42.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.6%
9.4%
9.1%
8.1%
7.2%
Sunderland 1.61 · Hull 1.17
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
38.6% to 55.9%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 17
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Hull.
Matchweek 19
Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.28 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.139 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.117 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.6%. The draw is 26.6%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 56.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.4% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional.