Sunderland vs Hull City prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Sunderland win the strongest outcome at 46.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN37.1 projected points
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Hull scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.1%
9.4%
8.1%
7.6%
7.0%
Sunderland 1.69 · Hull 1.25
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
40.3% to 54.3%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
20 vs 18
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Hull.
Matchweek 19
Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.28 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.016 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.154 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.116 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Hull prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 46.9%. The draw is 25.7%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Hull City?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 12.1%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Hull City?
The model gives both teams to score a 59.0% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 56.2% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Hull City?
Sunderland vs Hull City is scheduled for Saturday, 2 January 2027, time provisional.
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