Sunderland vs Everton prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Sunderland win the strongest outcome at 36.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
EvertonEVE50.2 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Everton scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
13.2%
8.3%
8.2%
8.1%
8.1%
Sunderland 1.35 · Everton 1.35
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
32.1% to 43.3%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 12
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Everton.
Matchweek 26
Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.19 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.018 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.046 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.071 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Everton prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Everton?
Sunderland win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 36.3%. The draw is 27.8%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Everton?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Everton, with an estimated probability of 13.2%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Everton?
The model gives both teams to score a 55.8% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 50.6% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Everton?
Sunderland vs Everton is scheduled for Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional.