Sunderland vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 43.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN37.1 projected points
BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.0%
9.1%
7.5%
7.3%
6.7%
Sunderland 1.36 · Brentford 1.65
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
27.4% to 34.5%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
20 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Brentford.
Matchweek 29
Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.31 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.043 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.053 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.168 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Brentford?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 43.4%. The draw is 25.8%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 12.0%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 60.9% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 57.8% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Brentford?
Sunderland vs Brentford is scheduled for Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional.
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