Sunderland vs Brentford prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Brentford win the strongest outcome at 42.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
BrentfordBRE57.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Sunderland vs Brentford scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.4%
9.0%
7.7%
7.6%
6.7%
Sunderland 1.34 · Brentford 1.57
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
27.2% to 36.7%
The Sunderland home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
19 vs 6
Current mean projected league positions for Sunderland and Brentford.
Matchweek 29
Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.31 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.043 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.085 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.105 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Sunderland vs Brentford prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Sunderland vs Brentford?
Brentford win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 42.0%. The draw is 26.4%.
What is the predicted score for Sunderland vs Brentford?
The most likely exact score is Sunderland 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 12.4%.
Will both teams score in Sunderland vs Brentford?
The model gives both teams to score a 59.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 55.7% probability.
When is Sunderland vs Brentford?
Sunderland vs Brentford is scheduled for Saturday, 13 March 2027, time provisional.