Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 48.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
Tottenham HotspurTOT49.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Tottenham scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.3%
9.5%
7.2%
7.1%
6.9%
Nott'm Forest 1.81 · Tottenham 1.32
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
40.0% to 54.9%
The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
13 vs 14
Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Tottenham.
Matchweek 3
Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.012 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
-0.034 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.092 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Nott'm Forest vs Tottenham prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 48.3%. The draw is 24.7%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Tottenham Hotspur, with an estimated probability of 11.3%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur?
The model gives both teams to score a 62.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 60.5% probability.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Hotspur is scheduled for Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 15:00 UK time.