Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 56.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
SunderlandSUN38.8 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Sunderland scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
11.4%
9.9%
9.9%
9.7%
6.5%
Nott'm Forest 1.87 · Sunderland 1.00
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
50.3% to 61.9%
The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
13 vs 19
Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Sunderland.
Matchweek 33
Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
+0.27 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
-0.015 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.084 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.011 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Nott'm Forest vs Sunderland prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 56.9%. The draw is 24.1%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?
The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Sunderland, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?
The model gives both teams to score a 54.4% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.8% probability.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland?
Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland is scheduled for Saturday, 24 April 2027, time provisional.