Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 44.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
Newcastle UnitedNEW50.5 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.7%
9.2%
8.6%
7.4%
7.3%
Nott'm Forest 1.56 · Newcastle 1.24
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
38.5% to 48.9%
The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
16 vs 10
Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Newcastle.
Matchweek 28
Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.18 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.005 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.119 goal-rate signal
Recent results
+0.015 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Nott'm Forest vs Newcastle prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?
Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 44.0%. The draw is 26.8%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?
The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Newcastle United, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?
The model gives both teams to score a 57.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 53.1% probability.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United?
Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle United is scheduled for Wednesday, 3 March 2027, time provisional.
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