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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 26 · SATURDAY, 20 FEBRUARY 2027

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Manchester United win the strongest outcome at 37.0%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-113.5% exact-score probability
Manchester UnitedMUN56.6 projected points
Nott'm Forest win34.7%
Draw28.3%
Man Utd win37.0%
Both teams score54.1%
Over 2.5 goals48.4%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Man Utd scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

13.5%

#20-1

8.8%

#31-0

8.4%

#40-0

8.3%

#51-2

8.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.28 · Man Utd 1.33

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

29.5% to 40.5%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 7

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Man Utd.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 26

Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.25 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

away

Sustainable form

-0.024 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.028 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.015 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Man Utd prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?

Manchester United win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.0%. The draw is 28.3%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Manchester United, with an estimated probability of 13.5%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?

The model gives both teams to score a 54.1% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 48.4% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United?

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United is scheduled for Saturday, 20 February 2027, time provisional.

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