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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 32 · SATURDAY, 17 APRIL 2027

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Liverpool win the strongest outcome at 37.6%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-113.3% exact-score probability
LiverpoolLIV59.9 projected points
Nott'm Forest win34.4%
Draw28.0%
Liverpool win37.6%
Both teams score55.2%
Over 2.5 goals49.8%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Liverpool scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

13.3%

#20-1

8.5%

#31-2

8.4%

#41-0

8.0%

#52-1

8.0%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.30 · Liverpool 1.37

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

30.7% to 39.9%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 4

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Liverpool.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 32

Saturday, 17 April 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

away

Latent strength

-0.39 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.024 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.042 goal-rate signal

neutral

Recent results

-0.003 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Liverpool prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

Liverpool win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.6%. The draw is 28.0%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Liverpool, with an estimated probability of 13.3%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

The model gives both teams to score a 55.2% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 49.8% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool?

Nottingham Forest vs Liverpool is scheduled for Saturday, 17 April 2027, time provisional.

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