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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 20 · WEDNESDAY, 6 JANUARY 2027

Nottingham Forest vs Hull City prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 55.1%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.0% exact-score probability
Hull CityHUL40.9 projected points
Nott'm Forest win55.1%
Draw25.1%
Hull win19.8%
Both teams score52.6%
Over 2.5 goals51.7%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Hull scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.0%

#21-0

10.5%

#32-0

10.0%

#42-1

9.8%

#50-0

7.3%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.77 · Hull 0.98

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

47.7% to 60.4%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 18

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Hull.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 20

Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.55 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

neutral

Sustainable form

+0.001 xG-trend differential

away

Squad inputs

-0.088 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.129 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Hull prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?

Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 55.1%. The draw is 25.1%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Hull City, with an estimated probability of 12.0%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?

The model gives both teams to score a 52.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 51.7% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Hull City?

Nottingham Forest vs Hull City is scheduled for Wednesday, 6 January 2027, time provisional.

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