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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 35 · SATURDAY, 8 MAY 2027

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 45.5%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.6% exact-score probability
Crystal PalaceCRY47.9 projected points
Nott'm Forest win45.5%
Draw26.6%
Crystal Palace win27.9%
Both teams score56.7%
Over 2.5 goals52.9%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.6%

#22-1

9.3%

#31-0

8.8%

#42-0

7.8%

#50-0

7.1%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.59 · Crystal Palace 1.20

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

41.0% to 49.8%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 12

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Crystal Palace.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 35

Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.04 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.032 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.051 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.118 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 45.5%. The draw is 26.6%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 12.6%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

The model gives both teams to score a 56.7% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.9% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional.

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