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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 35 · SATURDAY, 8 MAY 2027

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 53.9%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-111.8% exact-score probability
Crystal PalaceCRY40.4 projected points
Nott'm Forest win53.9%
Draw24.8%
Crystal Palace win21.3%
Both teams score55.6%
Over 2.5 goals54.7%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

11.8%

#22-1

9.8%

#31-0

9.4%

#42-0

9.2%

#50-0

6.5%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.81 · Crystal Palace 1.07

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

48.2% to 59.2%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

13 vs 18

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Crystal Palace.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 35

Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

home

Latent strength

+0.04 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

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Sustainable form

+0.032 xG-trend differential

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Squad inputs

+0.077 goal-rate signal

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Recent results

+0.104 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Crystal Palace prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 53.9%. The draw is 24.8%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Crystal Palace, with an estimated probability of 11.8%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

The model gives both teams to score a 55.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.7% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace?

Nottingham Forest vs Crystal Palace is scheduled for Saturday, 8 May 2027, time provisional.