Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea prediction
HORIZON 6.2 makes Chelsea win the strongest outcome at 37.3%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.
Nottingham ForestNFO49.9 projected points
ChelseaCHE64.1 projected points
EXACT-SCORE MODEL
Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Chelsea scores
The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.
12.7%
8.5%
8.3%
7.4%
7.2%
Nott'm Forest 1.41 · Chelsea 1.44
The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.
30.6% to 42.7%
The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.
13 vs 3
Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Chelsea.
Matchweek 12
Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional
MODEL DRIVERS
What shapes this prediction
Latent strength
-0.31 home differential
Venue
24% league scoring uplift
Sustainable form
+0.018 xG-trend differential
Squad inputs
+0.023 goal-rate signal
Recent results
-0.032 EWMA state differential
MATCH FAQ
Nott'm Forest vs Chelsea prediction questions
Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Chelsea win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 37.3%. The draw is 26.9%.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Chelsea, with an estimated probability of 12.7%.
Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
The model gives both teams to score a 58.6% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 54.2% probability.
When is Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea?
Nottingham Forest vs Chelsea is scheduled for Saturday, 28 November 2026, time provisional.