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PREMIER LEAGUE · MATCHWEEK 24 · SATURDAY, 6 FEBRUARY 2027

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford prediction

HORIZON 6.2 makes Nottingham Forest win the strongest outcome at 39.4%. The most likely score is 1-1, derived from 100,000 complete season paths.

Nottingham ForestNFO45.8 projected points
MOST LIKELY SCORE1-112.9% exact-score probability
BrentfordBRE56.8 projected points
Nott'm Forest win39.4%
Draw27.2%
Brentford win33.4%
Both teams score57.3%
Over 2.5 goals52.6%
EXACT-SCORE MODEL

Most likely Nott'm Forest vs Brentford scores

The modal score is useful, but the surrounding distribution is more honest. These are the five most likely exact outcomes.

#11-1

12.9%

#22-1

8.7%

#31-0

8.1%

#41-2

7.9%

#50-1

7.2%

EXPECTED GOALS

Nott'm Forest 1.46 · Brentford 1.32

The score matrix begins with venue-adjusted expected goals before uncertainty is sampled.

UNCERTAINTY

36.2% to 43.5%

The Nott'm Forest home-win range across 24 posterior team-strength states.

SEASON CONTEXT

16 vs 6

Current mean projected league positions for Nott'm Forest and Brentford.

KICK-OFF

Matchweek 24

Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional

MODEL DRIVERS

What shapes this prediction

neutral

Latent strength

-0.04 home differential

home

Venue

24% league scoring uplift

home

Sustainable form

+0.028 xG-trend differential

home

Squad inputs

+0.014 goal-rate signal

away

Recent results

-0.181 EWMA state differential

MATCH FAQ

Nott'm Forest vs Brentford prediction questions

Who is predicted to win Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?

Nottingham Forest win is the strongest modelled 1X2 outcome at 39.4%. The draw is 27.2%.

What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?

The most likely exact score is Nottingham Forest 1-1 Brentford, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.

Will both teams score in Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?

The model gives both teams to score a 57.3% probability and over 2.5 total goals a 52.6% probability.

When is Nottingham Forest vs Brentford?

Nottingham Forest vs Brentford is scheduled for Saturday, 6 February 2027, time provisional.

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